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Which Party wins the 2026 Tennessee District 1 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 168 daysLast updated: May 23, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

TN-01 House winner?

$86.00

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

100.0%

D. Party

3.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$86

24h volume

R. Party99%

D. Party3%

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source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

Cohen ends reelection bid after Tennessee redraw

24H

Steve Cohen’s decision to exit the race makes Tennessee’s newly redrawn Memphis-area seat even more likely to stay Republican, reinforcing TN-01’s already extreme GOP favorability.

Tennessee signs new House map splitting Memphis district

24H

A new Tennessee congressional map has been signed into law, and reporting says it breaks up Memphis’s majority-Black Democratic seat, making the GOP hold on TN-01 even more durable heading into the 2026 general election.

11d

Republican Party

95%24H95%

Republican Party’s odds in "TN-01 House winner?" are now 94%, above the prior high of 0% over the last 60 days.

17d

News

AINews Summary

Tennessee is considering a redraw of its congressional maps before the 2026 House election, with Republicans saying it could create another safe GOP seat. The reported changes are centered on the 9th District, and candidates there may need to re-qualify if the map changes. Other recent items are about primaries in other states and do not directly affect Tennessee's 1st District. The Tennessee redistricting news could strengthen Republican prospects if it changes district lines in their favor. But the effect on this specific race is still uncertain because the summaries do not mention the 1st District directly.

Articles

BNBreitbart News Network4 days ago

Rep. Mike Collins Heads to Georgia GOP Senate Runoff

Rep. Mike Collins (R-GA) will advance to a runoff in June after securing his spot in the Republican U.S. Senate primary on Tuesday night.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press4 days ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution3 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.