$2.2K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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24h volume
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source: Kalshi
The main district-specific update is a contrast between Democrat Dan Alexander and Republican incumbent Nathaniel Moran on immigration and Trump. Separate House redistricting coverage says Democrats face a tougher path to the majority overall. No new polling or result has been reported for this district. The district-specific news is limited and mostly frames the candidates’ positions, so it likely has little immediate effect on odds. Broader redistricting headlines may slightly reinforce Republican strength in the House picture, but the impact on this race is unclear.
Ken Paxton’s backers call it an aggressive conservative enforcement. John Cornyn and some targets say Paxton is using the office as a political tool.
A Democrat congressional candidate in deep East Texas said that his first vote as a U.S. Representative would be to impeach Donald Trump. The candidate also told a local ABC affiliate that he opposes border walls and would support a bill similar to an amnesty plan proposed by Congress during the Biden administration. | Border / Cartel Chronicles
The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Thanks to Trump-initiated gerrymandering and two huge court decisions, Democrats need to overperform to flip the House in 2026.
The Republicans who control Florida’s legislature on Tuesday will take up a new map proposed by Gov. Ron DeSantis to give GOP an edge in four seats now held by Democrats – in what is likely the final maneuver in the coast-to-coast redistricting battle that has raged for months between the political parties.
Five Florida U.S. House seats represented by Democrats show dramatic shifts to the GOP based on the 2024 presidential election results.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Tuesday set the date for a special election to fill Eric Swalwell's congressional seat after his resignation following multiple sexual assault allegations.
The political landscape amid redistricting is a test for Hakeem Jeffries, who is in line to become House speaker if Democrats regain power.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
