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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
Redistricting fights are intensifying after court rulings weakened protections for majority-Black districts, and Texas is among the states facing challenges. The broader House map changes have improved Republican prospects in several places, though Democrats are still favored to win the chamber overall. The Texas 3rd district market could become more uncertain if redistricting changes alter the district map. The broader news trend appears to favor Republicans overall, but the direct effect on this seat is still unclear.
Ken Paxton’s backers call it an aggressive conservative enforcement. John Cornyn and some targets say Paxton is using the office as a political tool.
The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.
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Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Thanks to Trump-initiated gerrymandering and two huge court decisions, Democrats need to overperform to flip the House in 2026.
Currently, Republicans have 217 seats in the House to Democrats’ 212. There’s one independent member. Five seats are vacant.
The Republican congresswoman agreed with a racist remark made about Hakeem Jeffries by a radio host on air.
Vice President JD Vance will visit Iowa on April 30 to campaign for Republicans in the midterms, appearing with Rep. Zach Nunn in a competitive House race as speculation grows about a potential 2028 presidential run.
Democrats are still favored to win a House majority, but their chances have slipped after taking several redistricting blows.
A new generation of civil rights leaders is rallying against efforts to dismantle the Voting Rights Act after a Supreme Court ruling.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
