Race Rating
Toss-up
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Competitive
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Washington House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
WA-03 House winner?
$367.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 91% | $6.29M | |
| 12% | $2.21M |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$367.7K
24h volume
$52.1K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Washington 3rd District · US House
Toss-upCompetitiveDistrict contextCompetitive House rating
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
Election Rules
Primary Aug 4, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Why it matters
The district is rated Toss-up, so turnout and late-cycle spending may have outsized effects.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and John Braun advanced from Washington's top-two primary to set the general election matchup in WA-03. The district has been closely contested in recent cycles, so the seat remains one to watch. The latest news mainly confirms the expected November pairing. The primary result confirms a Democrat-Republican general election matchup, keeping the race competitive. The market likely stays focused on whether the seat remains closely contested rather than on any clear shift in odds.
Articles
UTUSA TODAY1 day ago
What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections
Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.
SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press1 day ago
Dan Sullivan episode takes ominous turn as FBI comes knocking in Alaska
The Trump administration weighs criminal charges over potential "ballot stacking" in the Alaska Senate race's Dan Sullivan saga.
SSFGATE1 day ago
The Latest: Democrats and Republicans make a final push one day before midterm elections
President Donald Trump closed out the final weekend of a turbulent midterm campaign with rallies in two states he had handily won in the past. At the same time, Democrats began to fracture in...
UTUSA TODAY2 days ago
Trump bet on riskier candidates. Will it cost Republicans seats?
The president often picked more loyal but polarizing contenders during the 2026 primary season, now some of them are behind in the polls.
UTUSA TODAY2 days ago
Midterm upheaval: The campaign is reshaping politics for Trump, Dems
Dissatisfaction with those in charge has been the default of America's dyspeptic politics for a decade. That's still true this time around.
MPMechanicsburg Patriot News 4 days ago
Pa. voters weigh Perry’s record, Stelson’s challenge in pivotal House race
Incumbent Rep. Scott Perry faces Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson in a competitive Pennsylvania House race that could determine the balance of power in Congress.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer12 hours ago
On election night, here are the key races to watch and when polls close
Initial election results throughout Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning will say a great deal about which party prevails in the midterms.
TMThe Mercury News4 days ago
For under-50 Senate hopefuls, age isn’t just a number
“Young” is a relative term in the Senate.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Aug 18, 2026$10M
$7.5M
$5M
$2.5M
$0
M. Perez
J. Braun
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
M. PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez$6.29MContrib: $3.41M
$2.06MSpent: $4.25M
$223.9KLast period: $109.4K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026
J. BraunJohn Braun$2.21MContrib: $1.82M
$1.27MSpent: $947.4K
$47.4KLast period: $54.2K
TERMINATION REPORT · Aug 18, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
WA-03 House winner?
No verified final result is available for this race.
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-3?
Settlement pending
Will Republican win the House race for WA-3?
Settlement pending