$14.9K
NOV 7, 2029Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 29, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 45% | |
| 20% | |
| 15% | |
| 11% | |
| 7% | |
| 6% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Fetterman’s GOP convention appearance has triggered fresh criticism from Pennsylvania Democrats and renewed talk of a 2028 primary challenge. The latest coverage also says his support among Democrats looks weak, keeping his nomination path uncertain. The news appears to weaken Fetterman’s standing with Democrats and raises the chance of a serious primary challenge. That likely adds uncertainty to his nomination outlook and may modestly improve alternatives.
As the midterms near, potential 2028 presidential candidates are looking to prove their appeal in a range of House districts across the country. For Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, it’s all about his state’s 6th Congressional District.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”
If Democrats win a majority in the 2026 midterms, it will be due to a motley crew of military veterans, pastors, former Republicans, and independents.
Featured on Sam’s Morning Glory Diner menu on Friday: “Shapiro 2026″ and “2028 sausage, eggs and gravy.” The governor did not elaborate on his order.
Forty-three percent of Americans have a positive view of socialism, the highest share since Gallup began tracking the measure in 2010.
If Republicans lose Congress in 2026, Trump could face investigations, gridlock and renewed impeachment efforts. Here's why the stakes are so high.
John Fetterman can't win a Democratic primary in Pennsylvania anymore. If he wants to win in 2028, it would be as a Republican.
In a shocking upset, state representative Angie Nixon beat Alexander Vindman for the Democratic nomination in Florida’s US Senate race, becoming the first
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
