$3.0K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 12, 2026, 6:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Trump’s proposed $5,000 payments for a Republican midterm win are getting heavy criticism and would need congressional approval. The broader backdrop is Republicans defending slim majorities in 2026. The reporting does not include Arkansas-specific developments. The news is mostly about national Republican messaging, not Arkansas specifically. It likely has little direct effect on this market, though the criticism could add some uncertainty around Republican momentum.
Donald Trump's pitch to send Americans $5K checks should Republicans prevail in the November midterms is drawing scorn from some members of Congress.
Vice President JD Vance’s midterm convention speech is one of the the expected 2028 candidate's last best opportunities to prove he can lead the GOP.
Donald Trump’s pitch to send Americans $5,000 checks should Republicans prevail in the November midterms is drawing scorn from some members of Congress — the very people who have constitutional...
Democratic candidates in red states are sharing their faith to connect with voters, sparking intense debates over theology.
The narrower than expected victory by the far left Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed, could backfire on the party in November. El-Sayed barely staved off the establishment Democrat by less than one percentage point — just 15,000 votes — despite polls which showed him leading by double digits.
On Wednesday afternoon, Norris filed a Hail Mary motion, asking Circuit Judge Tim Fox to transfer his election-challenge case to another court or otherwise recuse.
President Trump has endorsed Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the Texas GOP runoff for U.S. Senate, one week before voting ends in the contentious and expensive primary.
Democratic turnout surged in early primaries, a concerning sign for Republicans, experts told Newsweek.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
