$21.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 97% | $944.3K | |
| 3% | $65.1K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is a Supreme Court ruling that could weaken Voting Rights Act challenges, with Arkansas mentioned as a state that could be affected. Separate commentary pushed Rep. Rick Crawford for a national intelligence post, and Trump made new remarks about declassifying 2020 election records. None of the other items directly change the Arkansas 1st District race. The Supreme Court ruling could matter for future redistricting and voting-rights fights in Arkansas, but the effect on this House market is indirect. The other items do not clearly change the race.
Elections fought across America may be decided in far fewer places than the national map suggests, a Newsweek analysis has found.
Mississippi voters will choose nominees for Congress in a state primary Tuesday.
Donald Trump should replace Tulsi Gabbard with Rick Crawford as the next director of national intelligence.
How effective is your representative in the U.S. House? See the Clarion Ledger's analysis of Mississippi's federal delegation.
The Calais v. Louisiana decision will allow Southern states to eliminate any vestige of Black voting power.
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that his acting spy chief has wide permission to declassify records, including potentially those tied to the 2020 election, even though his close ally is only at the intelligence helm for a short time.
Wahl, the former state party chair who has President Trump's endorsement, held a narrow lead over Allen in Tuesday's primary.
The Trump administration went all in on artificial intelligence. Then the public started hating it. That’s a big political problem, writes tech columnist John Herrman.
Here's a look at how Colorado members of Congress voted over the previous week.
South Carolina politicians are touting their odds on online betting markets, which allows folks to gamble on who will win upcoming political races.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. CrawfordRick Crawford
T. GreenTerri Yarbrough GreenSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
