$3.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 97% | |
| 5% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
There is no direct new development on the Arkansas gubernatorial race in these summaries. The Arkansas-related item concerns a secretary of state primary challenge, not the governor contest. Overall, this leaves the governor market unchanged based on the provided news. No direct new information on the Arkansas governor race is provided, so the market impact looks minimal. The update mainly adds uncertainty only insofar as Arkansas election litigation is still ongoing in another race.
Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped his bid for California governor after a growing number of Democrats called on him to step aside following a bombshell report.
Midterm primary election voting closes, with closely contested races in Texas for both Democrats and Republicans front.
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday. Voters are picking nominees in the new 9th Congressional...
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.
We’re following the latest updates and analysis on the Donald Trump administration. Follow along live.
On Wednesday afternoon, Norris filed a Hail Mary motion, asking Circuit Judge Tim Fox to transfer his election-challenge case to another court or otherwise recuse.
Tennessee's new congressional districts create strange bedfellows as they stretch from Memphis, over hundreds of miles of farmland and into Nashville's suburbs.
Democratic turnout surged in early primaries, a concerning sign for Republicans, experts told Newsweek.
Primary season for the U.S. Senate seats up for election this year kicked off Tuesday with races in Texas, North Carolina and Arkansas.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 11, 2026 and Aug 12, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
