DP2d
Democratic Party
13%24H65%Democratic Party's odds are now 65%, past the previous high of 52%.
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NOV 7, 2026
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Democratic Party's odds are now 65%, past the previous high of 52%.
Republican Party's odds fell below the prior low of 46%, marking a new 60-day extreme in the Iowa attorney general race.
The Democratic Party’s odds reached 64.5%, above the previous high of 52.5%.
Iowa’s 2026 attorney general contest is now locked in after the filing deadline: Republican incumbent Brenna Bird will face Democrat Nate Willems. Bird is running on community safety and corporate accountability, while Willems is emphasizing worker protection and criticizing Bird’s alignment with national Republican agendas. Separate reporting points to a more competitive statewide environment, with Iowa’s governor race shifting toward Toss Up in one analysis. The confirmed Bird vs. Willems matchup reduces uncertainty about who will be on the ballot. Broader signs of a more competitive statewide environment in Iowa could add some uncertainty to party expectations for down-ballot races like AG.
A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.
A new poll shows Democrat Rob Sand ahead in Iowa.
National Republicans are adding Iowa 2nd District candidate Joe Mitchell to their national "MAGA Majority" program in a show of support.
Who's on Iowa's 2026 primary ballots? Here's who's running for attorney general, secretary of state, auditor, secretary of agriculture and treasurer.
The primary ballot is set for Iowa's first open U.S. Senate seat in a dozen years. Meet the candidates running to replace Joni Ernst.
"The reality is that Democrats are consumed by infighting, factional warfare, and competing agendas," the RNC said.
James Talarico has emerged as the latest Democrat to be framed by the media as having a real shot to "turn Texas blue," although the narrative didn't help Wendy Davis or Beto O’Rourke.
Your morning catch up: The Republican opening for California governor, a virus with no treatment is hitting California and more big stories
Primary season for the U.S. Senate seats up for election this year kicked off Tuesday with races in Texas, North Carolina and Arkansas.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
