$7.6K
NOV 8, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$7.6K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick’s endorsement gives Mayes Middleton another high-profile GOP boost in the May 26 Texas attorney general runoff, reinforcing Middleton’s momentum in a race the market has already priced toward the Republican side. That’s trader-relevant because fresh elite support can matter in a low-turnout runoff and may affect the remaining odds path.
Texas AG coverage just got a fresh boost from Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick’s endorsement of Mayes Middleton, while the GOP winner market has already slid to 75% and the Democratic side jumped to 25% yes. That keeps the runoff in focus for traders because high-profile support can matter in a low-turnout primary and the market is showing real two-sided movement.
Republican Party's odds are now 75%, below the previous low of 80%.
Texas Republicans have sent Mayes Middleton and Chip Roy to a runoff for attorney general. That runoff will determine the GOP nominee. Recent Texas coverage is dominated by the Senate race, so there is little new evidence yet on the attorney general party outcome. The attorney general market still looks centered on the upcoming GOP runoff, with no clear new signal on which party will win. The latest news adds little direct movement for the party outcome.
Early voting begins in the Texas GOP Senate runoff as a new poll shows Democrat James Talarico tied with both Cornyn and Paxton for November.
Former President Barack Obama looks to boost Democrats James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa in their Texas races.
A single donor’s contribution of $2.75 million could help propel Representative Chip Roy in his clash with a self-funded state senator, Mayes Middleton.
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Voters who participated in the March primary election may only vote in that same party's primary runoff for the remainder of the election cycle, officials say.
In less than two weeks, Texans will vote in a runoff election to decide which Republican will face Democrat James Talarico in November for the chance to serve in the US Senate. Although incumbent Senator John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton could not be more different men, the two are nearly tied in the polls and campaigning on the same message: loyalty to President Donald Trump.
Tuesday's primary in Georgia features contentious Republican contests for governor and U.S. Senate while Democrats hope an enthusiasm advantage is enough to flip two state supreme court seats.
Groups backing Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, in the race for the Republican Senate nomination have outspent Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's allies by $69 million to $4 million as both candidates flood the airwaves with negative ads...
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
