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Who will win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 5, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 65 daysLast updated: Jun 1, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

$45.1K

AUG 5, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$45.1K

24h volume

$46

J. Benson94%

C. Swanson9%

G. Gilchrist0%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 4

Michigan 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Mallory McMorrow

24H0%

Mallory McMorrow has raised $8,624,066 this cycle, but Jocelyn Benson leads the latest odds for the Michigan Democratic governor nomination.

Mike Duggan suspends his Michigan governor campaign

24H

Duggan’s exit narrows the Michigan governor field and likely strengthens the Democratic lane, with Jocelyn Benson already the clear market favorite. That makes the remaining nominee markets more concentrated around Benson while reducing the independent spoiler path traders had been watching.

10d

Chris Swanson

24H7%

Barack Obama is the endorser on Chris Swanson's endorsement in "Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?"

23d

News

AINews Summary

Mike Duggan has dropped out of the Michigan governor’s race, changing the field. Gretchen Whitmer also drew attention by first ruling out a 2028 presidential run, then softening that stance. Separate coverage says Michigan remains a key battleground in 2026. Duggan’s exit likely changes the shape of the governor’s race, but the summaries do not identify a clear beneficiary. Whitmer’s mixed signals and lower national profile add some uncertainty around the broader Democratic landscape.

Articles

DFDetroit Free Press1 day ago

Michigan U.S. Senate debate shows divide among 3 candidates

A doctor, a senator and a congresswoman met on Mackinac Island to tell Michigan's elite why they deserve to replace Gary Peters in the U.S. Senate.

WEWashington Examiner1 day ago

Once a rising star, Gretchen Whitmer's 2028 prospects dim

Political observers in Michigan say Whitmer's fortunes changed after President Donald Trump's return to office.

WEWashington Examiner3 days ago

Sayed PAC spent just 13% on candidates

Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed's former PAC only spent about 13% of the money it raised on candidates and ballot initiatives.

CNCable News Network4 days ago

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer says she’s not running for president in 2028

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer threw cold water Thursday on the idea of a 2028 presidential bid, saying that while “there will be a robust group of people running for president, I will not be one of them.”

WWIS1026 days ago

Trump flexes control over Republican Party: Takeaways from elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan

President Donald Trump is having some success in his latest attempt to politically punish Republicans who stand in his way.

DFDetroit Free Press5 days ago

Mackinac Policy Conference underway as Michigan governor race heats up

Governor hopefuls have descended upon Mackinac Island to pitch their campaigns ahead of the 2026 election.

WEWashington Examiner5 days ago

Democrat Amy Acton runs on medical debt forgiveness in Ohio governor's race

Democrat gubernatorial candidate Dr. Amy Acton says she plans to "end medical debt" for Ohioans if she wins the November elections.

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News1 month ago

Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’

Trump’s recent rallies in Arizona and Nevada highlight GOP efforts to secure an alternative route to White House

NNewsmax3 days ago

Whitmer Walks Back Remarks Ruling Out White House Bid

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer clarified earlier remarks on a 2028 presidential bid, saying “never say never” while remaining focused on governing.

Polls

Polling Average

80%60%40%20%0%

55.8%

12.7%

6.5%

J. Benson

G. Gilchrist

C. Swanson

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Benson	Gilchrist	Swanson
Polling Average	Benson+43.1	55.8%	12.7%	6.5%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+54.0	62.0%	–	8.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 17 - 19	Benson+57.9	66.0%	–	8.1%
Emerson CollegeApr 11 - 13	Benson+47.1	51.7%	–	4.6%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21	Benson+36.0	48.0%	12.0%	5.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25	Benson+43.0	58.0%	15.0%	6.0%
Impact ResearchSep 30 - Oct 6	Benson+39.0	56.0%	17.0%	5.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	Benson+51.2	59.3%	6.9%	8.1%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Benson+33.0	46.0%	13.0%	11.0%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6	Benson+43.0	55.0%	12.0%	3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

M. McMorrow

J. Tate

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

M. McMorrowMallory McMorrow

$8.62MContrib: $8.53M

$3.69MSpent: $4.93M

$328.8KLast period: $2.96M

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

J. TateJoe Tate

$243.6KContrib: $228.3K

$0Spent: $243.6K

$27.1KLast period: $30.4K

TERMINATION REPORT · Sep 30, 2025

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic Primary?

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

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