$2.4M
AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$2.4M
24h volume
$94.8K
source: Kalshi
Fresh reporting shows Haley Stevens leading Abdul El-Sayed in the Aug. 4 Democratic primary, reinforcing the earlier establishment-endorsed repricing and keeping the race centered on whether Stevens can hold her market lead.
Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary remains close, with recent polls showing Haley Stevens ahead and other coverage saying Abdul El-Sayed is polling well. The race is drawing attention from outside spending and from El-Sayed’s focus on Israel aid and broader policy differences. The primary is set for August 4. The polling picture is mixed, so the market likely sees a close race with some edge to Stevens in recent public polling. Outside spending and issue polarization could keep uncertainty high.
Democrats are choosing between el Sayed, who is backed by socialists, and Haley Stevens, a more moderate candidate, in the Aug. 4 primary.
Michigan voters will weigh in on key statewide primary contests, along with legislative and local races. Here's how to find out what's on your ballot.
The workers of the world may one day unite, but not behind a socialist vessel for the grievances of ideologically exotic, college-educated white people.
More than 100 US House Democrats voted this week to cut military aid to Israel, exposing a widening party divide that could reshape both November's
... Except in Maine and Michigan, where the primaries have gotten messy for them.
The RealClearPolling average shows Haley Stevens leads Abdul El-Sayed in the Democratic race for US Senate in Michigan.
Even if the Platner campaign’s implosion saves Susan Collins, Democrats have enough opportunities elsewhere to flip the Senate.
Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Haley Stevens’ viral pep talk drew renewed attention to her 2020 House floor speech, when she wore pink latex gloves during COVID remarks and was gaveled down.
Michigan Democratic voters were asked in a recent poll how they felt about the 2026 U.S. Senate primary election in the state.
Fetterman is known as a maverick in the Democratic Party, sticking to traditional positions on immigration, foreign policy, and more.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Darrin Camilleri
State Sen. Darrin Camilleri endorsed Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan U.S. Senate race.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorsed Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.
Jewish Voice for Peace
The political arm of Jewish Voice for Peace endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for U.S. Senate in Michigan.
Chris Van Hollen
Chris Van Hollen endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for the 2026 Michigan Senate race.
United Auto Workers
United Auto Workers endorsed Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan U.S. Senate race.
Working Families Party
Working Families Party endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for U.S. Senate in Michigan.
National Nurses United
National Nurses United endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for U.S. Senate in Michigan.
Summer Lee
U.S. Rep. Summer Lee endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat.
Michigan state representatives Tonya Myers Phillips, Helena Scott, and Noah Arbit
Michigan state representatives Tonya Myers Phillips, Helena Scott, and Noah Arbit endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for U.S. Senate in Michigan.
Congressional Black Caucus PAC
The Congressional Black Caucus PAC endorsed Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Senate race.
Kirsten Gillibrand
Kirsten Gillibrand backed Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee backed Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
The Detroit News
The Detroit News endorsed Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
Jewish Democratic Council of America
The Jewish Democratic Council of America endorsed Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Senate race.
Debbie Stabenow
Debbie Stabenow endorsed Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
Catherine Cortez Masto
Catherine Cortez Masto endorsed Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren endorsed Mallory McMorrow in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
Several other Senate Democrats
Several other Senate Democrats endorsed Mallory McMorrow in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
Detroit Free Press editorial board
The Detroit Free Press editorial board endorsed Mallory McMorrow in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary.
Small Business Association of Michigan
The Small Business Association of Michigan endorsed Sarah Anthony.
Michigan Farm Bureau's AgriPac
Michigan Farm Bureau's AgriPac endorsed Kristen McDonald Rivet.
Chedrick Greene
Chedrick Greene endorsed Kristen McDonald Rivet for the Michigan Senate seat she previously held.
Chedrick Greene
Chedrick Greene endorsed Kristen McDonald Rivet for the Michigan Senate seat she previously held.
Chedrick Greene
Chedrick Greene endorsed Kristen McDonald Rivet for the Michigan Senate seat she previously held.
Jeremy Moss
Jeremy Moss endorsed Kristen McDonald Rivet for Congress in Michigan's 8th District.
Michigan Professional Fire Fighters Union
Michigan Professional Fire Fighters Union endorsed Matt Sahr for State Senate.
H. StevensHaley Stevens
M. McMorrowMallory McMorrowA. El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed
K. RivetKristen McDonald Rivet
R. TlaibRashida Tlaib
A. LevinAndy LevinSource: FEC
