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High Impact3h

7%4%

Demings has exited the Democratic primary after a prostate cancer diagnosis, which should materially reprice the nominee market by removing a major contender.

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

Who will win the 2026 Florida Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 75 daysLast updated: Jun 5, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

$19.5K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$19.5K

24h volume

$2.6K

D. Jolly95%

F. Driskell2%

S. Jones2%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

3hHigh Impact

Demings has exited the Democratic primary after a prostate cancer diagnosis, which should materially reprice the nominee market by removing a major contender.

4%7%

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

12d

Demings’ nominee odds fell sharply intraday to 8.8%, and fresh Florida reporting shows David Jolly still dominating the Democratic field discussion, which reinforces the market’s repricing and makes Demings a weaker current contender to hold.

9%11%

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

12d

Jerry Demings’ chance of winning the Florida Democratic governor nomination has ticked up from 9% to 19% on the latest snapshot, with a sharp 1-hour spike in activity alongside fresh reporting that again centers him and David Jolly in the race. That makes Demings a live trader watchlist name even though Jolly remains the clear market favorite.

19%10%

News

AINews Summary

The provided news does not include any direct updates on the Florida Democratic gubernatorial nomination. Most recent coverage is about other states’ primaries and runoffs. The only Florida-related item concerns a congressional retirement, not this race. No clear market impact from the provided news for this Florida nomination market. The available updates do not report any Florida governor candidate developments.

Articles

NYNew York Post13 hours ago

Why counting votes in California takes long - here is what to expect

The delay in California election results is less about malfunction and more about how the state has designed its voting system, according to election experts.

NNNBC News3 days ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

UTUSA TODAY15 hours ago

Public awaits results; Trump casts doubt

California election officials are calling on the public to "be patient" as primary ballots get counted.

PPOLITICO16 hours ago

House members keep losing their bids for higher office. Some think they know why.

Voters have not been especially excited to promote members of an unpopular and dysfunctional institution.

TRThe Ringer7 days ago

The Death of the Texas Political Machine That Bush Built

Ken Paxton routed John Cornyn in this week’s Texas GOP Senate primary runoff. The result is a stunning rejection of a political lifer—and the final blow to George W. Bush’s hold over his home state.

AJAlbuquerque Journal7 days ago

New Mexico governor's primary sets spending record at over $17 million

Campaign spending for New Mexico's gubernatorial primary has surged past $17 million, making it the most expensive in state history. Democrats Deb Haaland and Sam Bregman account for the majority of spending in their battle for the party's nomination.

NYNew York Post7 days ago

Rep. Frederica Wilson, 83, will retire from Congress

WASHINGTON — Rep. Frederica Wilson (D-Fla.) became the latest member of Congress to announce her retirement during a new interview published Friday after having furiously denied talk of her stepping down as a "crazy rumor."

PPPortland Press Herald7 days ago

Platner is outraising - and outspending - Susan Collins

Platner's heavy spending to date reflects the contentious Democratic primary with Gov. Janet Mills, who dropped out of the race April 30, and his likely November matchup with Collins.

ACAugusta Chronicle7 days ago

GA primary election 2026 debates Sunday-Monday ahead of runoff

Atlanta Press Club is hosting debates for multiple Georgia races ahead of the runoff election. Which races? When? How to stream online?

HCHartford Courant22 days ago

New Mexico politicians grapple with oil windfall from Iran war

A global oil bottleneck in the Strait of Hormuz has created a financial windfall on the other side of the world in New Mexico that is both enviable and politically sensitive in a Democratic-dominated state.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

41%

23.5%

22.2%

20.2%

J. Pizzo

D. Cava

D. Jolly

J. Demings

G. Graham

A. Nixon

F. Driskell

S. Jones

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Pizzo	Cava	Jolly	Demings	Graham	Nixon	Driskell	Jones
Polling Average	Pizzo+17.5	41.0%	23.5%	22.2%	20.2%	9.0%	5.0%	4.0%	3.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Jolly+15.0	–	–	42.0%	27.0%	–	–	–	–
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31	Jolly+10.6	–	–	20.7%	10.1%	–	–	–	–
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16	Jolly+8.0	–	–	31.0%	23.0%	–	–	–	–
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJan 8 - 13	Jolly+4.0	–	–	23.0%	19.0%	–	–	–	–
Public Policy PollingDec 2 - 3	Jolly+0.0	–	–	22.0%	22.0%	–	–	–	–
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7	Cava+19.0	–	32.0%	10.0%	–	13.0%	6.0%	7.0%	4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22	Pizzo+26.0	41.0%	15.0%	7.0%	–	5.0%	4.0%	1.0%	2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$500K

$375K

$250K

$125K

A. Nixon

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. NixonAngie Nixon

$293.6KContrib: $293.6K

$177.6KSpent: $21.0K

$1.4KLast period: $195.9K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Florida Governor Democratic Primary?

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Why counting votes in California takes long - here is what to expect

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Public awaits results; Trump casts doubt

House members keep losing their bids for higher office. Some think they know why.

The Death of the Texas Political Machine That Bush Built

New Mexico governor's primary sets spending record at over $17 million

Rep. Frederica Wilson, 83, will retire from Congress

​Platner is outraising - and outspending - Susan Collins

GA primary election 2026 debates Sunday-Monday ahead of runoff

New Mexico politicians grapple with oil windfall from Iran war

Polls

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Why counting votes in California takes long - here is what to expect

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Public awaits results; Trump casts doubt

House members keep losing their bids for higher office. Some think they know why.

The Death of the Texas Political Machine That Bush Built

New Mexico governor's primary sets spending record at over $17 million

Rep. Frederica Wilson, 83, will retire from Congress

​Platner is outraising - and outspending - Susan Collins

GA primary election 2026 debates Sunday-Monday ahead of runoff

New Mexico politicians grapple with oil windfall from Iran war

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Platner is outraising - and outspending - Susan Collins

Platner is outraising - and outspending - Susan Collins