$57.5K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | 26.3% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Byron Donalds has secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor and will face Democrat David Jolly in the general election. Recent coverage continues to describe Republicans as favored in the race. Another piece says Democrats need to unify after their primaries, but it does not change the nomination picture. The latest coverage still points to Republicans as favored in the governor’s race. The Democratic side looks unchanged, with little new evidence of a shift in the nomination contest.
It's as if the party's forgotten that the time following the August primary is usually spent on building momentum, not undermining it.
Florida voters face a pivotal 2026 election featuring an open governor's race, a key Senate contest, and tax reform.
“Everybody thinks California is different — especially in the South. They’re not crazy about California,” Vera DeVito, a 78-year-old Democrat, said.
Republican hopes for Florida were much higher at the start of a tit-for-tat cycle that saw Republican- and Democratic-led states across the country engage in mid-decade redistricting.
COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — U.S. Sen. Darline Graham and U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman face South Carolina voters yet again Tuesday in a special Republican primary runoff to…
Gov. Ron DeSantis has picked himself up off the sidelines and will campaign in support of the property tax measure and GOP candidate Byron Donalds.
By John Haughey Contributing Writer Three-term U.S. House Rep. Byron Donalds, R-Fla., and Republican-turned-Democrat David Jolly will face off in Florida’s governor election in November after winning their Tuesday primaries. Donalds, […]
Florida voters cast ballots Tuesday for Republican and Democratic nominees for governor, U.S. Senate and several congressional races. The primaries will define a midterm ballot set to test President...
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 15, 2025 and Jul 11, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. NixonAngie NixonS. JonesShevrin JonesSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
