Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.1%
40.5%
37.6%
37.5%
A. Moody
A. Vindman
H. Mujica
J. Jenkins
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$69.9K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Total volume
$69.9K
24h volume
$1.2K
source: Kalshi
The Supreme Court’s 6-3 Louisiana redistricting ruling weakened Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, potentially making it harder to challenge maps that dilute minority voting power. In Florida, Republicans are advancing a DeSantis-backed congressional map that could target four Democratic-held House seats and face legal challenges. The reporting suggests these redistricting effects may matter more beyond 2026. This news is more directly about Florida’s U.S. House map than the Senate race, but it could be read as a favorable environment signal for Republicans in Florida. The legal uncertainty around redistricting may limit how much it moves Senate odds right now.
The Republicans who control Florida’s legislature on Tuesday will take up a new map proposed by Gov. Ron DeSantis to give GOP an edge in four seats now held by Democrats – in what is likely the final maneuver in the coast-to-coast redistricting battle that has raged for months between the political parties.
The Supreme Court on Wednesday struck down Louisiana’s second majority Black congressional district in a decision that could open the door for Republican-led states to eliminate Black and Latino electoral districts that tend to favor Democrats and affect the balance of power in Congress.
The decision could open the door for Republican-led states to eliminate Black and Latino electoral districts that tend to favor Democrats.
Two Democrats vying to oust Collins led the five-term Republican in hypothetical November matchups, a recent poll found.
The Supreme Court on Wednesday weakened a landmark Civil Rights-era law that has increased minority representation in Congress and elsewhere, striking down a majority Black congressional district in Louisiana and opening the door for more redistricting across the country that could aid Republican efforts to control the House.
The Supreme Court decision could open the door for Republican-led states to eliminate Black and Latino electoral districts that tend to favor Democrats.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
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