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2026 Florida Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Florida Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

Florida Senate winner?

$155.3K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

84.0%

D. Party

15.0%

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OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$155.3K

24h volume

$416

R. Party84%

D. Party15%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Florida has finalized its 2026 election deadlines, and the U.S. Senate race will be on the Nov. 3 general election ballot. The update is mainly procedural, confirming the timetable for registration, mail voting, and early voting. This is mostly procedural and does not clearly shift the party race. It slightly reduces uncertainty by confirming the contest and timeline.

Articles

PPOLITICO17 hours ago

The insurgent left faces DeSantis’ Florida

A House candidate in South Florida has a Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, while others are trying to win with progressive, outsider messaging.

NDNaples Daily News9 hours ago

Trump endorsements for Florida primary election Day 2026

When is Primary Election Day in Florida? Polls are open from 7 am to 7 pm Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. See which candidates were endorsed by Trump.

HHerald-Tribune10 hours ago

What to watch in Florida's 2026 primary election

Florida's 2026 primary election offers clues about key races, voter enthusiasm and party unity heading into the fall campaign.

FNFox News4 hours ago

Mike Rogers Ford truck video draws KKK comparison from El-Sayed staffer

Mike Rogers' Woodward Dream Cruise video in a Ford truck drew a KKK comparison from an Abdul El-Sayed staffer in the Michigan Senate race.

NNewsweek3 hours ago

Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Has Crashed With Hispanic Men

Republicans can say "goodbye" to their gains among Hispanic and Latino men from 2024, CNN's data analyst Harry Enten said.

L5Live 5 News WCSC1 day ago

Week Ahead in Washington: August 16

Tuesday marks another primary election day, and IndyCar takes to the streets of the Nation’s Capital. This is your Week Ahead in Washington for the week of August 16.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 25, 2026 and Jul 17, 2026.

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

46.8%

42.0%

A. Moody

A. Vindman

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Moody	Vindman
Polling Average	Moody+4.8	46.8%	42.0%
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabJul 8 - 17	Moody+10.0	50.0%	40.0%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Moody+8.0	45.0%	37.0%
Change ResearchJun 11 - 14	Vindman+0.0	46.0%	46.0%
Change ResearchJun 11 - 14	Moody+3.0	46.0%	43.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesJun 3 - 7	Moody+7.0	47.0%	40.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 18 - 21	Moody+3.0	46.0%	43.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Vindman+2.0	45.0%	47.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Moody+5.0	46.0%	41.0%
Cherry CommunicationsMay 1 - 9	Moody+8.0	48.0%	40.0%
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchMar 25 - Apr 13	Moody+7.0	49.0%	42.0%
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9	Moody+7.0	50.0%	43.0%
MDW CommunicationsMar 27 - Apr 3	Moody+1.2	43.4%	42.2%