$14.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$14.1K
24h volume
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source: Kalshi
Fresh reporting says Debbie Wasserman Schultz is running for reelection even after Florida’s new map made FL-25 more Republican-leaning, keeping the seat’s trader relevance high as the district’s matchup firms up.
Fresh reporting says Debbie Wasserman Schultz will seek reelection while Florida’s new map makes FL-25 more Republican-leaning, with the district now drawn to favor the GOP by roughly nine points. That keeps the race in play for traders because the market has already been moving around the redistricting story and the incumbent’s district choice just became clearer.
The Democratic Party is up from 52.5% an hour ago and 64% four hours ago in "FL-25 House winner?"
Florida’s new congressional map is the biggest development and could tilt more seats toward Republicans, including in South Florida. Scott Singer also posted a strong fundraising quarter against Jared Moskowitz. Broader House ratings updates are mixed, but redistricting has generally helped Republicans. The new Florida map likely improves Republican prospects in this district, though legal challenges could limit the effect. Fundraising also points to a stronger GOP position, but the overall market remains somewhat uncertain.
GOP congressional candidate Scott Singer says he sees "great reason for optimism" for Republicans in the midterms, touting a Q1 fundraising haul that outraised his opponent.
By Fredreka Schouten, Ethan Cohen, Renée Rigdon, CNN (CNN) — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has signed into law a map he designed to give Republicans an edge in as many as four seats now held by Democrats. State lawmakers approved the new boundaries just hours after the US Supreme Court issued a decision limiting the
An analysis from the nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted 5 competitive seats toward Democrats and one toward Republicans for 2026.
Several seats thought to be safe for Republicans shifted toward competitiveness in new Sabato’s Crystal Ball midterm ratings.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
At this point, it’s not really news that Democrats are doing very well in special elections and other races held since the 2024 presidential contest. Their
Republican congressional candidate Scott Singer says NYC Mayor Mamdani's socialist tax policies will drive more capital and residents out of the city and into Florida.
Florida's Legislature is in a special session to consider Gov. DeSantis's redistricting map, which could turn four US House seats red. Is that legal?
Over just the past two weeks, new court rulings and new congressional maps have put Republicans on track to add more than a dozen districts that voted for President Trump.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
