$143.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 21, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 66% | $4.56M | |
| 32% | $1.09M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Scott Wiener finished first in the California 11th District primary, with Connie Chan taking second and advancing to November. Saikat Chakrabarti was eliminated after a distant third-place finish. The market is now focused on the certified primary totals and the general-election matchup. Wiener’s clear first-place finish strengthens his position in the market. Chan’s advance keeps the general-election race relevant, but the primary result points to Wiener as the early favorite.
Breaking down the rumors of Gov. Mikie Sherrill's potential roles on the national stage.
Progressive organizer Analilia Mejia won New Jersey's 11th District special election, defeating Republican Joe Hathaway by nearly 20 points to fill Gov. Mikie Sherrill's seat.
Analilia Mejia wins New Jersey's 11th Congressional District special election on Thursday.
California congressional candidate Scott Wiener said Gaza activists at San Francisco's Trans March crossed the line from protest into antisemitic intimidation.
Political experts say that hefty campaign spending can boost candidates, though it also has notable limits.
Not even party officials could rein in the chaos of the Democrats in California's recent primary. What does the chaos mean for Democrats in a true-blue state?
Left-wing streamer Hasan Piker unleashed a homophobic rant after his pal, Saikat Chakrabarti, lost a San Francisco congressional primary.
Former Stripe engineer Saikat Chakrabarti lost his bid to succeed Nancy Pelosi in California to a candidate backed by Ripple's Chris Larsen.
Far-left extremist California State Sen.
With so many key races expected to be tight, officials are warning it could takes days to know the outcome of California's primary election. Here are some important things to watch as the results roll in.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 14, 2026 and Jul 19, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
S. WienerScott WienerC. ChanConnie Chan
M. HurabiellMarie HurabiellSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
