$157.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| Scott WienerDemocratic | 65% | $4.56M |
| Connie ChanDemocratic | 35% | $1.09M |
| Saikat ChakrabartiDemocratic | 1% | — |
| Marie HurabiellDemocratic | 1% | $861.4K |
| Matt HaneyDemocratic | 0% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Scott Wiener finished first in the California 11th District primary, with Connie Chan second and Saikat Chakrabarti out of contention. The certified primary totals confirm Wiener’s lead and set the November matchup. The latest results reinforce Wiener as the clear primary leader and likely market favorite. Chan remains the main challenger, but the gap keeps the outlook tilted toward Wiener.
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California congressional candidate Scott Wiener said Gaza activists at San Francisco's Trans March crossed the line from protest into antisemitic intimidation.
Political experts say that hefty campaign spending can boost candidates, though it also has notable limits.
Not even party officials could rein in the chaos of the Democrats in California's recent primary. What does the chaos mean for Democrats in a true-blue state?
Left-wing streamer Hasan Piker unleashed a homophobic rant after his pal, Saikat Chakrabarti, lost a San Francisco congressional primary.
Former Stripe engineer Saikat Chakrabarti lost his bid to succeed Nancy Pelosi in California to a candidate backed by Ripple's Chris Larsen.
Far-left extremist California State Sen.
With so many key races expected to be tight, officials are warning it could takes days to know the outcome of California's primary election. Here are some important things to watch as the results roll in.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 14, 2026 and Jul 19, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Human Rights Campaign
Human Rights Campaign endorsed Scott Wiener in the race to succeed Nancy Pelosi.
San Francisco Democratic Party
San Francisco Democratic Party endorsed Scott Wiener for the 2026 House race.
California Democratic Party
California Democratic Party endorsed Scott Wiener for the 2026 House race to replace Nancy Pelosi.
California Legislative LGBTQ Caucus
California Legislative LGBTQ Caucus endorsed Scott Wiener for U.S. House.
Rob Bonta
California Attorney General Rob Bonta endorsed Scott Wiener to succeed Nancy Pelosi in Congress.
Saikat Chakrabarti
Saikat Chakrabarti endorsed Connie Chan in the congressional race to succeed Nancy Pelosi.
Nancy Pelosi
Nancy Pelosi endorsed Connie Chan in the 2026 race for California's 11th congressional district.
California Federation of Labor Unions
California Federation of Labor Unions endorsed Connie Chan for Congress.
California Working Families Party
California Working Families Party endorsed Connie Chan for Congress in California's 11th District.
National Nurses United
National Nurses United endorsed Connie Chan for California's 11th Congressional District.
Sunrise Movement
Sunrise Movement endorsed Saikat Chakrabarti in his congressional campaign.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorsed Saikat Chakrabarti for the 2026 California's 11th congressional district race.
National Union of Healthcare Workers
National Union of Healthcare Workers endorsed Saikat Chakrabarti in his campaign for Congress.
City Attorney David Chiu
City Attorney David Chiu endorsed Saikat Chakrabarti in his campaign for Congress.
ConnectedSF
ConnectedSF endorsed Marie Hurabiell for California's 11th Congressional District race.
San Francisco Republican Party
San Francisco Republican Party endorsed Marie Hurabiell for Congressional District 11 in the 2026 primary.
Chinese American Democratic Club (CADC)
Chinese American Democratic Club (CADC) endorsed Marie Hurabiell for U.S. House District 11.
Chinese American Democratic Club
Chinese American Democratic Club endorsed Marie Hurabiell for U.S. House District 11 in the 2026 primary.
ICAN (Israeli-American Civic Action Network)
ICAN endorsed Marie Hurabiell in its first round of 2026 endorsements.
YIMBY Action
YIMBY Action endorsed Matt Haney in its June 2026 California primary voter guide.
ANCA Western Region
ANCA Western Region announced Matt Haney among its 2026 primary endorsements.
San Francisco Democratic Party
The San Francisco Democratic Party listed Matt Haney in its June 2, 2026 primary election voter guide endorsements.
San Francisco Working Families Party
The San Francisco Working Families Party endorsed Matt Haney in its June 2026 primary endorsements.
California Young Democrats
California Young Democrats endorsed Matt Haney in its 2026 endorsements list.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
S. WienerScott WienerC. ChanConnie Chan
M. HurabiellMarie HurabiellSource: FEC
