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AUG 19, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Florida Democrats have posted several recent special and local election wins, pointing to some renewed competitiveness. But Republicans still have a structural advantage in Florida, and redistricting plus registration trends continue to favor the GOP. The news is mixed: Democratic momentum could slightly improve their outlook, but the structural Republican edge still limits the shift. Overall uncertainty remains high.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
