Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Texas Na Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds. Updated .

CandidateSaved odds
57%
46%

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$270.3K

24h volume

$38.0K

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest new development is backlash against Republican nominee Bo French over remarks described as bigoted. Cornyn and other Republicans have criticized him. Separately, outside groups are spending heavily to support Republicans in competitive 2026 races, including Texas. The controversy could hurt French’s standing and add some uncertainty around the Republican side. Broader outside spending suggests the race remains a priority for GOP-aligned groups.

Articles
SSlate2 days ago

This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.

The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

SSalon1 day ago

"The sitting president doesn't win": Ahead of midterms, Trump reflects on himself

As early voting breaks records, the president harps on Washington construction projects and "communist jihadists"

N5NBC 5 Chicago1 day ago

Election 2026: Races to watch in the House, Senate

The 2026 election is nearly here, and battles for control of the U.S. Senate and House are continuing to heat up

UTUSA TODAY1 day ago

What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections

Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.

F4FOX 4 News1 day ago

Talarico leads Paxton in latest poll on Texas Senate race

The poll was conducted by New York Times/Sienna between Oct. 27 and Nov. 1. It has a margin of error of =/- 3.4%.

CCNBC1 day ago

Texas governor race tightens in prediction market, but GOP is favored

Prediction markets still show the Republican incumbent favored to win a fourth term, but the odds have narrowed in recent weeks.

AABC17News.com1 day ago

What polls do and don’t tell us about the 2026 midterms

By Ariel Edwards-Levy, CNN (CNN) — Can the polls be trusted? It depends on what you’re trusting them to do. Even the most carefully conducted polls are imprecise snapshots of public opinion, not precision instruments — and when they’re pressed into predictive tools, they don’t always get it right. But while surveys can’t provide an

TTNW1 day ago

Musk’s midterm donations hit a record $474M, The New York Times reports

Musk’s midterm donations reach $474M, a record for a donor not on the ballot, by The New York Times’ count of FEC and state filings.

FNFox News1 day ago

2026 midterm polls show Democrats poised to flip House and Senate

2026 midterms polls, forecasts, and prediction markets all favor Democrats flipping the House and potentially winning the Senate as President Trump's approval rating dips below 40%.

NNewsweek2 days ago

The Midterm Special: The Conversation

With the midterm elections around the corner, Newsweek readers share their thoughts on the biggest races and controversies

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Bo French

    Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC

  • Jon Rosenthal

    Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC