2026 Texas Na Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds |
|---|---|
| 57% | |
| 46% |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$270.3K
24h volume
$38.0K
source: Kalshi
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest new development is backlash against Republican nominee Bo French over remarks described as bigoted. Cornyn and other Republicans have criticized him. Separately, outside groups are spending heavily to support Republicans in competitive 2026 races, including Texas. The controversy could hurt French’s standing and add some uncertainty around the Republican side. Broader outside spending suggests the race remains a priority for GOP-aligned groups.
This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

"The sitting president doesn't win": Ahead of midterms, Trump reflects on himself
As early voting breaks records, the president harps on Washington construction projects and "communist jihadists"
Election 2026: Races to watch in the House, Senate
The 2026 election is nearly here, and battles for control of the U.S. Senate and House are continuing to heat up
What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections
Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.
Talarico leads Paxton in latest poll on Texas Senate race
The poll was conducted by New York Times/Sienna between Oct. 27 and Nov. 1. It has a margin of error of =/- 3.4%.
Texas governor race tightens in prediction market, but GOP is favored
Prediction markets still show the Republican incumbent favored to win a fourth term, but the odds have narrowed in recent weeks.
What polls do and don’t tell us about the 2026 midterms
By Ariel Edwards-Levy, CNN (CNN) — Can the polls be trusted? It depends on what you’re trusting them to do. Even the most carefully conducted polls are imprecise snapshots of public opinion, not precision instruments — and when they’re pressed into predictive tools, they don’t always get it right. But while surveys can’t provide an
Musk’s midterm donations hit a record $474M, The New York Times reports
Musk’s midterm donations reach $474M, a record for a donor not on the ballot, by The New York Times’ count of FEC and state filings.
2026 midterm polls show Democrats poised to flip House and Senate
2026 midterms polls, forecasts, and prediction markets all favor Democrats flipping the House and potentially winning the Senate as President Trump's approval rating dips below 40%.
The Midterm Special: The Conversation
With the midterm elections around the corner, Newsweek readers share their thoughts on the biggest races and controversies
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC
Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC









