$127.35
NOV 4, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
The biggest new item is North Carolina Republicans passing a redistricting map that makes the 1st District more Republican-friendly. The rest of the news is broader 2026 election analysis and does not report new North Carolina House polling or results. The new North Carolina map could modestly improve Republican prospects in the state’s broader 2026 landscape. But the provided news does not give direct evidence yet on control of the North Carolina House, so uncertainty remains high.
Whitmer is the best known politician in Michigan and could be a decisive figure in determining the outcome of the primary.
North Carolina’s Michael Whatley is taking heat for his connections to Harvey West Jr.
Maine Democrats scrambling to replace Graham Platner for the Senate race against Susan Collins are expected to nominate Troy Jackson.
Kalshi took another step today from niche economic hedging tool as it launched its midterm elections hub.
With a little more than three months to go, both parties are grappling with self-inflicted wounds and messy missteps that have complicated their paths to victory in key races.
In today’s news briefing, read about another candidate running for Lindsey Graham’s seat, a wildfire in Francis Marion Forest and a new colorful coffee shop.
Decision day in Senate Republican runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, ending one of the state's nastiest campaigns.
The brightest warning light for Democrats in this year’s election is the consistent finding in early national and state polls that they are not winning nearly as large a share of voters who disapprove of President Donald Trump’s performance as they did during his first term. Paradoxically, that dynamic could represent a major danger for Republicans if it proves unsustainable through November.
President Donald Trump's “shocking” new discoveries did not move many Republican candidates from their focus on upcoming midterms.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.