$91.9K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 3:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 44.5% | $3.23M | |
| 41% | 41.0% | $3.79M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is a new North Carolina map that makes the 1st District more Republican-friendly. The seat is currently held by Democrat Don Davis. Separate coverage says unaffiliated voters could also play a major role in North Carolina’s 2026 races. The redistricting news likely improves Republican chances in the district. Unaffiliated voter turnout adds some uncertainty, but the map change appears to tilt the market toward Republicans.
Democrats are adding eight more House districts in deep-red terrain to their offensive target list, another sign of the party’s growing confidence that it will reclaim the House majority.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
Democrats worry nominees like Graham Platner in Maine could jeopardize winnable Senate races, even as the party eyes a favorable 2026 map.
Democrat Shannon Taylor and Republican Rep. Rob Wittman are running to represent Virginia's 1st Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
Unaffiliated voters now make up 40% of North Carolina's electorate. Their turnout could shape major races and ballot measures in November.
Democrats are competitive in three Virginia districts held by Republicans that could determine control of the House in the 2026 elections.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 29, 2026 and Sep 11, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
L. BuckhoutLaurie BuckhoutD. DavisDon DavisSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
