$56.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 6, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 42.7% | $3.23M | |
| 42% | 40.3% | $3.79M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is a new North Carolina map that makes the 1st District more favorable to Republicans. The seat is currently held by Democrat Don Davis. Separately, a judge blocked a USPS mail-in voting rule ahead of the 2026 congressional elections. The redistricting news appears to improve Republican chances in the district. The USPS ruling may reduce uncertainty around mail voting, but its effect on this race is likely limited.
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
Democrats worry nominees like Graham Platner in Maine could jeopardize winnable Senate races, even as the party eyes a favorable 2026 map.
Democrats are competitive in three Virginia districts held by Republicans that could determine control of the House in the 2026 elections.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
A flight bound for Minneapolis was forced to divert to Madison, Wisconsin.
Gov. Abigail Spanberger's (D-VA) redistricting push could wipe out multiple House Republicans if it passes on Tuesday.
While dozens of seats are technically on the ballot, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.
Elections fought across America may be decided in far fewer places than the national map suggests, a Newsweek analysis has found.
The administration on Thursday asked the U.S. Supreme Court to intervene and lift the restraining order so the rule could take effect.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 29, 2026 and Jun 28, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
L. BuckhoutLaurie BuckhoutD. DavisDon DavisSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
