$14.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$14.5K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Fresh reporting again highlights the GOP-drawn NC-01 map as a headwind for Rep. Don Davis, and the market has already repriced Democratic odds up to 63%. That keeps the race trader-relevant because the move looks supported by current coverage rather than just stale price drift.
The Democratic win price in North Carolina’s 1st District has stayed elevated around 63%, and current reporting still frames redistricting as the key driver. That keeps this race trader-relevant because the market is repricing Davis’s path in a district Republicans have targeted for a flip.
North Carolina’s 1st District market has pushed Democratic win odds up to 63%, extending a sharp multi-day move. The latest public reporting continues to frame the new GOP-friendlier map as a major headwind for Rep. Don Davis, making the shift trader-relevant.
An AI-backed group is spending $500,000 to support Laurie Buckhout in the GOP primary for North Carolina's 1st District. The district was recently redrawn to be more favorable to Republicans. Broader redistricting changes have also improved GOP prospects in the 2026 House race. The redrawn district and GOP primary spending likely modestly improve Republican prospects. The broader redistricting trend also leans toward Republicans, though the effect on this seat is indirect.
Democrats worry nominees like Graham Platner in Maine could jeopardize winnable Senate races, even as the party eyes a favorable 2026 map.
Gov. Abigail Spanberger's (D-VA) redistricting push could wipe out multiple House Republicans if it passes on Tuesday.
While dozens of seats are technically on the ballot, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.
South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham is calling for South Carolina to undergo midterm redistricting following Virginia’s electorate voting in favor of new maps.
OpenAI President Greg Brockman and venture capitalist Ben Horowitz are funding a political group to support lawmakers who support AI regulatory frameworks.
A sense of dread is spreading through Democratic circles as a new political landscape threatens to derail the party’s path back to the House.
The Supreme Court intervened after a separate legal challenge argued that the new map relied too heavily on race.
Seven states have adopted new maps since last summer, as the simmering redistricting war between Democrats and Republicans continues.
Rather than waning, a national redistricting battle that began 10 months ago has intensified — inflamed by a recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling that weakened the federal Voting Rights Act.
At a living history festival in North Carolina, visitors confront pride, pain and unresolved questions about what it means to be American.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.