$51.0K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | 42.7% | $3.23M | |
| 41% | 40.3% | $3.79M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
North Carolina’s 1st District has been redrawn to favor Republicans more than before. That likely makes the seat harder for Democrats to hold in 2026. Broader House analysis still shows a competitive national picture, with no clear overall lock for either party. The new North Carolina map likely improves Republican odds in this district. Broader House trends are mixed, so the market may see some offsetting uncertainty.
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
Democrats worry nominees like Graham Platner in Maine could jeopardize winnable Senate races, even as the party eyes a favorable 2026 map.
Democrats are competitive in three Virginia districts held by Republicans that could determine control of the House in the 2026 elections.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
A flight bound for Minneapolis was forced to divert to Madison, Wisconsin.
Gov. Abigail Spanberger's (D-VA) redistricting push could wipe out multiple House Republicans if it passes on Tuesday.
While dozens of seats are technically on the ballot, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.
Elections fought across America may be decided in far fewer places than the national map suggests, a Newsweek analysis has found.
These maps show that the redistricting battle President Trump initiated has so far had a particular impact on largely Black congressional districts in Republican-led states.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 29, 2026 and Jun 28, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
L. BuckhoutLaurie BuckhoutD. DavisDon DavisSource: FEC
