$150.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $10, get $25 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 46.0% | $3.22M | |
| 29% | 42.0% | $1.92M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Tennessee lawmakers approved a new House map that would change the Memphis-based 9th District. The plan would break up the current district held by Democrat Steve Cohen. It still needs the governor’s approval, and legal challenges are expected. The redistricting news could change the district’s partisan outlook, but the final effect is still uncertain. Until the map is signed and any court fights are resolved, market odds may stay volatile.
North Carolina Democrats are hoping that dissastifcation with President Donald Trump will help flip red-leaning districts this November.
Voters across the country will decide which party controls the House as a handful of closely watched races shape the 2026 midterm elections.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Democrats are adding eight more House districts in deep-red terrain to their offensive target list, another sign of the party’s growing confidence that it will reclaim the House majority.
Republican incumbents are facing tough challenges in Maine and Nevada. In South Carolina, a crowded field of MAGA-devoted Republicans are facing off to be the next governor.
A flight bound for Minneapolis was forced to divert to Madison, Wisconsin.
Sen. John Cornyn’s landslide defeat Tuesday immediately raised a pressing question for his GOP colleagues: Will he join the ranks of other Republicans recently vanquished by President Donald Trump and begin bucking the president more?
Democratic Rep. Jake Auchincloss of Massachusetts is facing a torrent of backlash from the left for having the audacity to call Maine Dem Senate hopeful Graham Platner's onetime Nazi tattoo and his excuse about it "disqualifying."
Tennessee lawmakers have passed a new U.S. House map that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis. The new voting districts approved Thursday could give Republicans a chance to win all nine of the state’s congressional seats in the November midterm elections.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 31, 2026 and Oct 20, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. HudsonRichard HudsonR. OjedaRichard OjedaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
