Prediction Edge

2026 North Carolina Elections & races

Track North Carolina election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.

Overview

North Carolina's 2026 cycle is headlined by an open US Senate seat: Republican Thom Tillis is retiring, and former Governor Roy Cooper (D) will face former RNC chair Michael Whatley (R) after both won their March 3 primaries outright. The November 3 ballot also includes all 14 US House seats, the full state legislature, a state Supreme Court seat that shapes the court's partisan balance, and a voter-ID constitutional amendment; the governorship is not up again until 2028. North Carolina uses semi-closed primaries with a possible runoff. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates.

2026 North Carolina Election Snapshot

Primary Election
Mar 3, 2026
General Election
Nov 3, 2026
Main Statewide Race
Open seat
Primary System
Semi-closed primary with runoff
Major Offices
US Senate, US House, State Supreme Court, State Senate
Partisan Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
Early Voting
One-stop early voting generally runs from the third Thursday before Election Day through the Saturday before Election Day.
Prediction Edge Coverage
Odds, polls, candidates, market volume, race pages and alerts

Key North Carolina Races to Watch in 2026

North Carolina US Senate Races 2026

Republican Thom Tillis is retiring, leaving an open seat that could help decide Senate control. Former Governor Roy Cooper (D) faces former RNC chair Michael Whatley (R) in November; a separate market tracks the state's 2028 Senate race.

North Carolina Senate winner?
$274.0KNov 7, 2026
See all US Senate races

North Carolina US House Races 2026

All 14 of North Carolina's US House seats are on the 2026 ballot. Tracked districts include NC-01, where Democrat Don Davis defends a seat redrawn in 2025, plus Democrat Deborah Ross's NC-02 and Republican Chuck Edwards's NC-11.

See all US House races

North Carolina State Supreme Court Races 2026

One North Carolina Supreme Court seat is on the November 2026 ballot: Democratic Justice Anita Earls faces Republican Sarah Stevens. The result determines whether the court's Republican majority widens to 6-1 or stays at 5-2.

North Carolina Supreme Court winner?
$351Nov 4, 2026
See all State Supreme Court races

North Carolina State Senate Races 2026

Live odds, candidates and market movement for North Carolina State Senate races in 2026.

North Carolina State Senate winner?
$1.6KNov 4, 2026
See all State Senate races

2026 North Carolina Elections Calendar

  1. North Carolina 2026 primary
  2. North Carolina 2026 primary runoff, if required
  3. North Carolina 2026 general election
See full calendar

North Carolina Candidates Running in 2026

Explore candidate pages for North Carolina's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.

See all candidates

North Carolina Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals

See all
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
49.1%
39.6%
R. Cooper
M. Whatley
Date (Start - End)SpreadCooperWhatley
Polling Average
Cooper+9.4
49.1%39.6%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 27
Cooper+7.0
50.0%43.0%
YouGovJun 1 - 10
Cooper+14.0
48.0%34.0%
Harper PollingMay 10 - 11
Cooper+11.1
49.8%38.7%
Change ResearchMay 4 - 8
Cooper+7.0
49.0%42.0%
Opinion DiagnosticsApr 21 - 24
Cooper+9.0
50.4%41.4%
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6
Cooper+10.0
49.0%39.0%
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6
Cooper+8.0
50.0%42.0%
Quantus InsightsMar 31 - Apr 1
Cooper+4.8
48.6%43.8%
Harper PollingMar 22 - 23
Cooper+7.8
48.9%41.1%
YouGovMar 9 - 18
Cooper+14.0
48.0%34.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 13 - 14
Cooper+3.0
47.0%44.0%
Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners SolutionsMar 8 - 9
Cooper+17.7
50.0%32.3%

2026 North Carolina Elections FAQ

When is the 2026 North Carolina primary election?
The 2026 North Carolina primary election is on Mar 3, 2026.
When is the 2026 North Carolina general election?
The 2026 North Carolina general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
What races are on the ballot in North Carolina in 2026?
North Carolina's November 3, 2026 ballot includes an open US Senate seat, all 14 US House districts, every seat in the state Senate and state House, one state Supreme Court seat, three Court of Appeals seats and other judicial races, plus a constitutional amendment on voter photo identification. No statewide executive offices, including governor, are up in 2026.
How does North Carolina's primary work?
North Carolina held its 2026 primary on March 3. Primaries are semi-closed: voters registered with a party vote in that party's primary, while unaffiliated voters may choose any one party's ballot. If no candidate tops 30 percent, the runner-up can request a second primary, which was scheduled for May 12, 2026; the marquee Senate primaries were decided outright.
Why is the 2026 North Carolina US Senate race important?
North Carolina does not elect a governor in 2026; the next gubernatorial race is in 2028, when Democrat Josh Stein's current term ends. What makes 2026 consequential here is the open US Senate seat created by Thom Tillis's retirement, a state Supreme Court contest that affects the court's partisan balance, and US House races run under district lines redrawn in 2025.
Where can I follow North Carolina election odds?
Follow live North Carolina election odds, candidate standings, polls and market-moving updates on this Prediction Edge North Carolina hub.

2026 Statewide Elections and Races