
Hernandez rose from 13% to 16% in the past hour, while fresh CalMatters coverage flags SD-26 as a Republican target and notes Hernandez among the Democrats running to replace Sen. Maria Elena Durazo. That makes the move more tradable than a routine wobble, especially with low absolute odds. ([calmatters.org](https://calmatters.org/california-voter-guide-2026/state-senate/?utm_source=openai))









