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2026 Michigan State Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Michigan State Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

Michigan State Senate winner?

$1.5K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

86.0%

R. Party

28.0%

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OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$1.5K

24h volume

D. Party86%

R. Party28%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Haley Stevens is leading Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary, and outside spending has surged behind Stevens. El-Sayed is drawing progressive support, but the race has narrowed to a two-candidate contest ahead of the Aug. 4 primary. These developments mainly affect the nomination fight, with less direct impact on the chamber-control market for now. The news slightly strengthens Stevens’ position in the Democratic primary, but the race remains competitive. For the Senate control market, the main effect is limited so far because these updates are about the nomination fight, not the general election.

Articles

BNBaltimore News20 hours ago

Fact Check Team: Are political polls still reliable? Primary misses spark discussion

Recent polling misses in Wisconsin and Michigan are renewing a familiar question heading into the 2026 midterms: How much confidence should voters put in polls?

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press3 days ago

4 women vie for top MN offices in what may be most competitive elections in years

Minnesota’s DFL Republican primaries for U.S. Senate and governor set the stage for what may be the most competitive statewide races for top offices in recent memory.

CNCable News Network2 days ago

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.

VVox.com6 days ago

Francesca Hong lost. Here’s what it means for progressives.

The socialist candidate for governor fell short Tuesday as concerns about her electability carried the day.

FNFox News5 days ago

Ex-Vikings captain calls Abdul El-Sayed win a warning for America

Former Minnesota Vikings captain Jack Brewer calls Abdul El-Sayed's Michigan Senate primary win a 'warning shot to America' while praising Michele Tafoya as a credible conservative.

FNFox News5 days ago

House GOP leader heaps doubt on El-Sayed's distancing from socialist left

Lisa McClain calls Abdul El-Sayed a socialist or "full-blown communist" after his Michigan Senate primary upset over Haley Stevens, citing his Medicare for All platform.

CCNBC5 days ago

Massive polling misses in Wisconsin, Michigan primaries

It's the second time in just over a week that polls and prediction markets' odds were off, following a miss in the Democratic U.S. senate primary in Michigan.

NYNew York Magazine6 days ago

Crowley Upsets Hong in Wisconsin As Progressive Surge Ebbs

In a Democratic gubernatorial contest roiled by an unstable field and late controversies surrounding democratic socialist front-runner Francesca Hong, Milwaukee’s county executive, David Crowley, pulled the upset in Wisconsin.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution4 days ago

In Democrats’ ‘civil war,’ voters prefer moderates over progressives

News outlets keep describing the Democratic Party rift between moderates and progressives as a "civil war," but Democrats need to recenter themselves around American values.

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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2026 Michigan State Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Michigan State Senate winner?

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Fact Check Team: Are political polls still reliable? Primary misses spark discussion

4 women vie for top MN offices in what may be most competitive elections in years

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

Francesca Hong lost. Here’s what it means for progressives.

Ex-Vikings captain calls Abdul El-Sayed win a warning for America

House GOP leader heaps doubt on El-Sayed's distancing from socialist left

Massive polling misses in Wisconsin, Michigan primaries

Crowley Upsets Hong in Wisconsin As Progressive Surge Ebbs

In Democrats’ ‘civil war,’ voters prefer moderates over progressives

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Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Fact Check Team: Are political polls still reliable? Primary misses spark discussion

4 women vie for top MN offices in what may be most competitive elections in years

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

Francesca Hong lost. Here’s what it means for progressives.

Ex-Vikings captain calls Abdul El-Sayed win a warning for America

House GOP leader heaps doubt on El-Sayed's distancing from socialist left

Massive polling misses in Wisconsin, Michigan primaries

Crowley Upsets Hong in Wisconsin As Progressive Surge Ebbs

In Democrats’ ‘civil war,’ voters prefer moderates over progressives

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Michigan Senate winner?

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

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MI-10 House winner?