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Which Party controls the 2026 Michigan State Senate?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

Michigan State Senate winner?

$328.00

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

78.0%

R. Party

29.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$328

24h volume

D. Party78%

R. Party29%

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source: Kalshi

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

8%24H78%

Democratic Party's odds are up 7.5 points and are now 78% in "Michigan State Senate winner?"

10d

Democrats hold Michigan Senate seat in special election

24H

AP now confirms Democrats kept control of the Michigan State Senate in a bellwether special election, and the market is already pricing Democrats around 0.76. That makes the result relevant as a read on Michigan’s 2026 legislative environment, but the move looks mostly confirmed rather than a fresh dislocation.

11d

News

AINews Summary

Michigan’s 2026 Senate race remains centered on a crowded Democratic primary, with Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow all competing. McMorrow’s unpaid utility bills drew scrutiny, while Republicans are pushing JD Vance to campaign in the Midwest to boost turnout. The broader Michigan political environment is being described as challenging for Republicans. The news is mostly about the broader Michigan political climate, not the state Senate race itself. It may slightly reinforce uncertainty around Democratic and Republican turnout, but it does not clearly shift control odds.

Articles

TNThe New Yorker2 days ago

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.

NNNBC News2 days ago

What GOP officials are hopeful - and worried - about six months from the midterms

President Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot this year, but with roughly six months before Election Day, he’ll still likely be the biggest factor in determining the fortunes of the Republican Party

NYNew York Post3 days ago

Michigan Dem Senate candidate pushing water affordability agenda racked up unpaid bills on $1.28M home

Michigan Democrat Senate candidate Mallory McMorrow accrued $3,000.37 in unpaid bills and late fees on her $1.28M home near Detroit, despite campaigning on affordability.

L5Live 5 News WCSC13 days ago

Trump flexes control over Republican Party: Takeaways from elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan

President Donald Trump is having some success in his latest attempt to politically punish Republicans who stand in his way.

FNFox News4 days ago

Michigan Senate hopeful Mallory McMorrow went nearly a year without paying bills

Mallory McMorrow owed over $3,000 in unpaid water and sewer bills on her million-dollar Royal Oak home while championing legislation to end water shutoffs for nonpayment.

CNCBS News4 days ago

Michigan Matters: Power Panel Dissects Huge Political Year

This week on Michigan Matters, the roundtable talks about the governor's race and the impact of former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan.

NNewsweek5 days ago

Roy Cooper's Chances of Beating Whatley to Flip North Carolina's GOP Senate Seat Surge-New Poll

Cooper extended his lead over Whatley in a new poll of the North Carolina Senate race released on Thursday.

NNewsmax3 days ago

GOP Pushes Vance Midwest Tour Ahead of Midterms

Republican officials across key Midwestern battleground states are urging Vice President JD Vance to campaign aggressively ahead of the 2026 midterms, betting his popularity with GOP voters can boost turnout in critical Senate and House races.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit12 days ago

Republicans once saw Michigan as ripe for a takeover, but the mood is shifting

Michigan Republicans once viewed 2026 as their best chance to reclaim power in the battleground state.

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party controls the 2026 Michigan State Senate?

Michigan State Senate winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

Democrats hold Michigan Senate seat in special election

News

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

What GOP officials are hopeful - and worried - about six months from the midterms

Michigan Dem Senate candidate pushing water affordability agenda racked up unpaid bills on $1.28M home

Trump flexes control over Republican Party: Takeaways from elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan

Michigan Senate hopeful Mallory McMorrow went nearly a year without paying bills

Michigan Matters: Power Panel Dissects Huge Political Year

Roy Cooper's Chances of Beating Whatley to Flip North Carolina's GOP Senate Seat Surge-New Poll

GOP Pushes Vance Midwest Tour Ahead of Midterms

Republicans once saw Michigan as ripe for a takeover, but the mood is shifting

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Latest Insights

Democratic Party

Democrats hold Michigan Senate seat in special election

News

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

What GOP officials are hopeful - and worried - about six months from the midterms

Michigan Dem Senate candidate pushing water affordability agenda racked up unpaid bills on $1.28M home

Trump flexes control over Republican Party: Takeaways from elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan

Michigan Senate hopeful Mallory McMorrow went nearly a year without paying bills

Michigan Matters: Power Panel Dissects Huge Political Year

Roy Cooper's Chances of Beating Whatley to Flip North Carolina's GOP Senate Seat Surge-New Poll

GOP Pushes Vance Midwest Tour Ahead of Midterms

Republicans once saw Michigan as ripe for a takeover, but the mood is shifting

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