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NOV 4, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
The biggest recent Senate development is Ken Paxton’s win over John Cornyn in Texas after Trump’s endorsement. Louisiana Republicans also advanced Julia Letlow and John Fleming to a runoff, knocking out Bill Cassidy. None of the reported news directly concerns North Carolina’s State Senate race. These updates are mostly about other states and do not directly change the North Carolina Senate market. They likely have little immediate effect on North Carolina control odds.
Democrats are in striking distance of Republican incumbents in a series of Senate races that will be crucial in the midterms.
The race is expected to be one of the nation's most closely watched Senate contests.
President Donald Trump’s low approval numbers could cost the Republican Party the Senate, new polling suggested.
You’re going to be hearing a lot more about Darializa Avila Chevalier.
Decision day in Senate Republican runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, ending one of the state's nastiest campaigns.
“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”
Democrats believe Iowa will be competitive in this year's midterm elections despite the state's increasingly conservative lean.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump plans to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general and the Senate begins voting on amendments to ICE and Border Patrol funding.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.