$10.9K
NOV 8, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
Ken Paxton has won the Texas Republican Senate primary, and a new poll shows him narrowly ahead of Democrat James Talarico. Other Texas coverage points to Republicans holding small statewide leads, while Talarico’s TV appearance drew FCC scrutiny. The overall picture is still close, with limited evidence of a clear shift. The Paxton primary win and his narrow poll lead may slightly strengthen Republican expectations, but the race still looks close. The FCC story is more noise than a clear market mover.
President Donald Trump’s low approval numbers could cost the Republican Party the Senate, new polling suggested.
Democratic candidates are generally popular, Times/Siena polling finds, but retaking the Senate remains a big challenge.
Republicans are defending seats in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas as they try to maintain their majority. Democrats are competitive in all six states — but not leading in enough to take the chamber.
The Week's Biggest News in Brief: June 25 - July 1
Groups like the NRSC can now offset the fundraising deficits of GOP candidates to their Democratic rivals in high-profile Senate races.
You’re going to be hearing a lot more about Darializa Avila Chevalier.
Like so much these days, this Trumpapalooza is something new.
President Donald Trump's choice for U.S. Senate in Louisiana is seeking to secure the GOP nomination and deliver another win for the president in his effort to replace Republicans who crossed him.
President Donald Trump's unusual decision to host a midterm convention in Dallas, Texas, this fall could have unexpected consequences for Republicans, a CNN analyst warned on Wednesday. Journalist Chuck Todd told CNN anchor Erica Hill that the event, hosted by the Republican National Committee on Se...
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.