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NOV 4, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 23, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 85% | |
| 9% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
North Carolina ballots are going out while a court keeps Trump’s mail-voting order blocked. Separate coverage says unaffiliated voters are now the state’s largest registration bloc and could matter in the 2026 races, including the Supreme Court contest. The news mostly points to turnout and voter-bloc uncertainty rather than a clear advantage for either side. It may slightly raise attention on how unaffiliated voters behave in the race.
Jim Clyburn discusses the upcoming midterms, Republican redistricting efforts and his future as he seeks an 18th term in Congress.
The liberal justice says the conservative majority’s rulings have weakened democracy. Here’s how those decisions affect the midterms—and what Congress could do in response.
The midterm elections will test polling accuracy and determine whether Democrats can break decades of closely divided politics.
Live updates and the latest news as Trump rallies in Kansas, Vance campaigns in North Carolina, and a new NBC News poll finds 71% of U.S. adults think the country is on the “wrong track.”
The court keeps a liberal hold. Here's what that means.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
The trip marks Trump’s first campaign rally since his unusual midterm convention in Dallas. The president, despite voter frustrations over the Iran war and his economic leadership, has promised dozens more trips ahead of Election Day.
Donald Trump's redistricting push has netted Republicans at least 10 more right-leaning congressional seats as the GOP fights to hold its House majority ahead of midterm elections.
Charles Bethea writes about Darline Graham Nordone, Lindsey Graham’s younger sister, who was appointed to his Senate seat upon his death and may soon be elected to fill it long-term.
Democrats are in striking distance of Republican incumbents in a series of Senate races that will be crucial in the midterms.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
