$6.5K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $347.7K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Recent coverage focuses on Trump-backed primary losses and Florida primary endorsements. None of the summaries report a Democratic nomination result for Florida’s 26th district. The main takeaway is that there is no new direct signal on the FL-26 Democratic race. These updates do not directly identify the Democratic nominee in FL-26, so the market impact is limited. The broader primary results may slightly shift attention, but they do not clearly change this race’s odds.
When is Primary Election Day in Florida? Polls are open from 7 am to 7 pm Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. See which candidates were endorsed by Trump.
The current Supreme Court seems completely comfortable that we might return to the days in which states create winner-take-all congressional delegations.
When is Primary Election Day in Florida? Polls are open from 7 am to 7 pm Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. See which candidates were endorsed by Trump.
Republican redistricting gains offset Democrats' generic ballot edge in the midterms, leaving the house majority hinging on a handful of toss-up races across competitive districts.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
President Donald Trump’s 2026 primary endorsement success rate remains high, but he has seen a growing number of losses stack up in recent weeks.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
N. LocklinNicole Locklin
Y. GilYurina GilSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
