$912.45
JUN 6, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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source: Kalshi
Ken Calvert and Young Kim are locked in a high-profile Republican-versus-Republican primary in California's redrawn 46th district. The June 2 top-two primary could send both to November, and the race is being shaped by attacks over Trump loyalty. Mail voting is already underway. The top-two setup and two-incumbent GOP fight add uncertainty about who finishes first. The Republican registration edge may keep both candidates competitive, but the split primary could make the outcome harder to call.
A vicious U.S. House primary is playing out as two Republican incumbents wedged into the same district are fighting over their MAGA bona fides.
California is one of the most heavily Democratic states in the country. But in a U.S. House district southeast of Los Angeles, the campaign is being shaped by a different dynamic: Two sitting GOP lawmakers are duking it out over who is most loyal to Trump.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
Republicans have reason to worry over the 2026 midterms, but need not despair.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
K. KileyKevin Kiley
T. HoThien Ho
R. PanRichard Pan
L. TomlinsonLauren Babb Tomlinson
M. GuerreroMartha Guerrero
T. VandenbergTyler VandenbergM. StansfieldMichael StansfieldSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
