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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 7 US House Democratic Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 22 daysLast updated: Jul 28, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

FL-07 Democratic nominee?

$4.3K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$4.3K

24h volume

B. Dalton88%

M. Kinter10%

A. Grayson2%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

FL-07 Democratic nominee?

Bale Dalton's odds are now 88%, above the previous high of 74%.

88%14%

News

AINews Summary

A new report says Democrats raised more money than Republican incumbents in many competitive House races, including in Florida. It also points to polling, Trump’s approval rating, and Florida redistricting as factors shaping the broader midterm outlook. The update is more about the overall House environment than this nomination race. This is broadly favorable for Democrats in competitive House markets, but it does not give district-specific nominee information. For this Florida 7th nomination market, the effect is indirect and limited.

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NNewsweek2 days ago

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NVNorfolk Virginian-Pilot22 days ago

Trump-backed Alfonso faces GOP primary challenge in Wisconsin race

U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy’s son-in-law Michael Alfonso faces GOP scrutiny over experience in his Wisconsin congressional bid.

NNNBC News2 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

TAThe Associated Press22 days ago

Sean Duffy son-in-law Michael Alfonso tests Trump sway in Wisconsin

U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy is doing all he can to get his 26-year-old son-in-law elected to his old congressional district in the vast north woods of Wisconsin.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit22 days ago

Sean Duffy's son-in-law divides Trump-backing Republicans in a Wisconsin congressional race

U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy is doing all he can to get his 26-year-old son-in-law elected to his old congressional district in the vast north woods of Wisconsin.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

B. Dalton

M. Kinter

A. Grayson

J. Adams

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

B. DaltonBale Dalton

$1.20MContrib: $1.20M

$763.4KSpent: $438.0K

$24.3KLast period: $509.0K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

M. KinterMarialana Kinter

$509.6KContrib: $509.5K

$113.9KSpent: $395.7K

$22.0KLast period: $174.5K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

A. GraysonAlan Grayson

$212.2KContrib: $38.5K

$120.6KSpent: $218.5K

$12.1KLast period: $3.5K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

J. AdamsJennifer Adams

$35.1KContrib: $34.6K

$5.1KSpent: $29.9K

$5.0KLast period: $32.8K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2025

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 7 US House Democratic Primary?

FL-07 Democratic nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-07 Democratic nominee?

News

100 Counties Likely to Decide the 2026 Midterms

Trump-backed Alfonso faces GOP primary challenge in Wisconsin race

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Sean Duffy son-in-law Michael Alfonso tests Trump sway in Wisconsin

Sean Duffy's son-in-law divides Trump-backing Republicans in a Wisconsin congressional race

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-07 Democratic nominee?

News

100 Counties Likely to Decide the 2026 Midterms

Trump-backed Alfonso faces GOP primary challenge in Wisconsin race

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Sean Duffy son-in-law Michael Alfonso tests Trump sway in Wisconsin

Sean Duffy's son-in-law divides Trump-backing Republicans in a Wisconsin congressional race

Fundraising

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