$102.1K
JUN 2, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jun 3, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC.
Total volume
$102.1K
24h volume
$45.3K
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 94% | $1.38M | |
| 1% | $457.6K | |
| 1% | $790.3K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Montana Democrats have been working to separate themselves ahead of a debate, but the race remains unsettled. Recent coverage has mostly centered on the Republican primary, while the Democratic nomination contest has not produced a clear new leader. The Democratic nomination race still looks open, with little new evidence of a clear frontrunner. Recent news does not appear to shift the market strongly toward any one Democrat.
Super PACs linked to OpenAI and Anthropic have poured more than $37 million into 2026 congressional primaries, underscoring how aggressively leading artificial intelligence companies are seeking to influence the lawmakers who will shape future AI regulation.
Montana voters will select nominees in Tuesday’s state primary to replace two prominent Republican incumbents: U.S. Sen. Steve Daines and U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke.
A Journal columnist criticizes Deb Haaland’s gubernatorial campaign for sharing detailed property information about rival Sam Bregman’s family, raising questions about ethics, judgment and leadership in the high-stakes New Mexico governor primary.
Minutes before the Senate filing deadline, Senator Steve Daines withdrew his re-election bid and an ally jumped in. Even some fellow Republicans criticized the 11th-hour switch.
The AI political spending boom comes as emerging technology companies have become increasingly “comfortable with using their power to achieve a political goal,” said a former Google public policy executive.
Newsom has spent 1 in 5 days traveling outside California in second term
Two-term GOP Sen. Steve Daines shocked Montana when he announced his retirement. Democrats worry a new independent candidate will split their party's vote.
U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin’s decision not to seek another term led to a cascade of candidates running for not just his seat, but several congressional districts.
Get a recap of Tuesday's local news stories from Billings Gazette.
Some state level Democrats aren’t willing to pave the way for an independent, even if they have a better shot at winning an already-uphill race.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
S. ForstagSam Forstag
R. BusseRyan Busse
R. ClevelandRussell ClevelandSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
