$11.6K
JUN 6, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Solis’s win probability has climbed from 89% yesterday to 97% now, and the market is pricing her as a near-lock in the crowded top-two primary. That move is trader-relevant because it sharply reduces upside on the field and reinforces Solis as the dominant favorite after Linda Sánchez’s high-profile backing of Monica Sánchez.
There are no direct updates on the California 38th District primary in the provided news. Most recent items cover other states or unrelated California races. One California story concerns Eric Swalwell, but not this House contest. No clear market-moving information for this contest. The latest summaries add little direct signal, so odds should be largely unchanged.
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By Eric Bradner, CNN Rockville, Indiana (CNN) — Five months ago, Indiana Republican legislators withstood pressure from President Donald Trump and rejected his urgent political demands. Now there are signs here on the ground that GOP voters may be poised to do the same. Trump and his allies are out for revenge in the Hoosier
H. SolisHilda Solis
M. SanchezMonica SanchezSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
