FL-24 Democratic nominee?
42mShevrin Jones's odds fell below the prior low of 66%, setting a fresh low for "FL-24 Democratic nominee?"
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver GilbertDemocratic | 67% | 27.4% | $524.3K |
| Shevrin JonesDemocratic | 32% | 32.2% | $148.0K |
| Christine Sanon-JulesDemocratic | 5% | — | — |
| Frederica WilsonDemocratic | 1% | — | $164.8K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
Shevrin Jones's odds fell below the prior low of 66%, setting a fresh low for "FL-24 Democratic nominee?"
Jones dropped sharply from 66% to 30% in the last day, widening the gap behind Oliver Gilbert in a race public reporting still describes as a two-man contest.
Oliver Gilbert is now leading with 56% support in the FL-24 Democratic nominee race, replacing the prior leader.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Frederica Wilson’s retirement is the biggest development in Florida’s 24th District. Her exit opens the Democratic primary, which is set for August 18. The seat is still expected to stay Democratic-leaning, but the nomination race is now more open. Wilson’s retirement likely increases uncertainty in the Democratic nomination market and opens the race to a wider field. The district still appears Democratic-leaning, so the nominee should remain favored to win the seat.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 16, 2026 and Jul 28, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
O. GilbertOliver Gilbert
F. WilsonFrederica Wilson
S. JonesShevrin Jones
C. Sanon-JulesChristine Sanon-JulesSource: FEC