Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Arkansas House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
AR-03 House winner?
$9.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.87M | |
| 2% | $120.5K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$9.6K
24h volume
$164
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Arkansas 3rd District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Republican or unratedDistrict contextRunoff possible
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Steve Womack (R)
Election Rules
Primary Mar 3, 2026
Runoff: Mar 31, 2026
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
The latest summaries do not report any direct developments in Arkansas’s 3rd Congressional District. The only Arkansas-specific item is a campaign event in the state’s 2nd District, not AR-03. Overall, there is no new evidence here of a shift in the race. The provided news does not show a clear shift in the Arkansas 3rd District market. With no direct AR-03 developments, odds likely stay driven by existing fundamentals and remain uncertain.
Articles
TMThe Mercury News4 days ago
For under-50 Senate hopefuls, age isn’t just a number
“Young” is a relative term in the Senate.
PPOLITICO2 days ago
The 'Blacklash' Is Here
Anger at Trump is driving a surge in Black turnout across the South.
UTUSA TODAY2 months ago
Democrats use faith to challenge red state GOP
Democratic candidates in red states are sharing their faith to connect with voters, sparking intense debates over theology.
AOArkansas Online2 months ago
The simple truth: Donald Trump doesn’t care if GOP loses
It is frustrating to come across electoral analysts talking about the midterm elections using the kinds of traditional concepts and theories I spent a career teaching, but which have now, in the age of Donald Trump, become increasingly irrelevant.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$625K
$0
S. Womack
R. Ryerse
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
S. WomackSteve Womack$1.87MContrib: $1.76M
$2.40MSpent: $1.18M
$65.7KLast period: $301.9K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
R. RyerseRobb Ryerse$120.5KContrib: $120.5K
$6.0KSpent: $114.6K
$6.4KLast period: $32.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
AR-03 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-03?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for AR-03?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC