$4.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 94% | $2.56M | |
| 4% | $3.1K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
James Russell III has secured the Democratic nomination in Arkansas's 4th District and will challenge Republican incumbent Bruce Westerman. Westerman was unopposed in the GOP primary. Recent coverage also includes Democratic criticism of a Supreme Court campaign finance ruling, but it does not change the matchup. The primary result confirms the general-election matchup and removes nomination uncertainty. The spending-ruling criticism is more narrative than market-moving, with only a limited and unclear effect on odds.
We’re following the latest updates and analysis on the Donald Trump administration. Follow along live.
WASHINGTON -- Mental health advocate James Russell III won Arkansas' 4th Congressional District Democratic primary on Tuesday, putting him in a matchup this fall against Republican incumbent Bruce Westerman.
Chris Jones says vote to cut WIC program shows French Hill's priorities are wrong.
Memphis voters say they’re frustrated with what they felt was a bald move by the Republican-controlled Legislature to eliminate Tennessee’s only Democratic representative in Congress and dilute the will of the majority-Black city.
Pete Buttigieg, former U.S. secretary of transportation and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate, will appear in Little Rock next week to campaign for Chris Jones, who is running for Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District.
Republicans across the country have escalated their anti-Islam rhetoric in recent months.
The Democratic Senate primary in Minnesota is heating up and immigration has become a central issue.
Governor Wes Moore of Maryland says he’s concerned that President Trump might use federal power to influence the fall elections.
Shoffner: Ruling will allow unlimited campaign spending
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. WestermanBruce Westerman
J. RussellJames RussellSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
