$14.9K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Ethan Agarwal's odds are down 20.9 points over the 3-day streak and now stand at 12%.
Ro Khanna now has a new challenger in California's 17th congressional district, and some Silicon Valley tech leaders are backing the bid. The race is being described as potentially his toughest since 2016, but it is still early and the primary is not until June 2. The new challenger and tech backing could make the race more competitive, but the effect on the market is still limited by the early stage. This likely adds some uncertainty rather than clearly shifting the odds.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
His support reflects an early rallying around the home-state governor by Democratic donors in Silicon Valley.
Tom Steyer, JB Pritzker, Ro Khanna, and Saikat Chakrabarti have each won some left praise. How’d they pull it off?
With just weeks to go in the first round of the race to replace Nancy Pelosi in her San Francisco-based district, an iconic center of liberalism is trying to figure out what comes next.
Representative Thomas Massie is slipping in a new poll as he fights for the Republican nomination in Kentucky’s 4th District.
The presumptive Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate is also calling for a nationwide, 4-year freeze on electricity rate increases.
I loathe billionaires. But the former hedge fund manager could be a class traitor in the mold of FDR
Tom Steyer paid a reported $100,000 to influencer Carlos Eduardo Espina to help with his campaign for California Governor.
The battle over a proposed wealth tax has triggered what could be the first competitive race in a decade for Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna.
Rep. Thomas Massie has been useless in Congress and has opposed Trump every step of the way. His days are numbered.
R. KhannaRo KhannaE. AgarwalEthan Agarwal
R. TandonRitesh Tandon
J. ParkJason ParkSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
