CA-24 House winner?
6dCA-24’s Democratic win odds are now around 95%, and local reporting says incumbent Salud Carbajal and Republican Bob Smith are the November matchup after the June 2 primary, reinforcing a heavily Democratic pricing tilt.
CA-24’s Democratic win odds are now around 95%, and local reporting says incumbent Salud Carbajal and Republican Bob Smith are the November matchup after the June 2 primary, reinforcing a heavily Democratic pricing tilt.
The Democratic Party's odds in "CA-24 House winner?" are now 95%, topping the previous high of 0%.
Early primary results in California's 24th Congressional District show Democrat Salud Carbajal ahead of Republican Bob Smith. The district uses a top-two primary, so the final two finishers will move on to the general election. The field also includes Sarah Bacon and Helena Pasquarella. Early results are a positive sign for Carbajal, but they do not settle the race because the top-two primary still determines the general-election matchup. The market should see only a modest shift unless the final primary order changes.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.