$30.2K
JUN 6, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Democrats were described as favored in the 2026 midterms after mixed results in recent state elections. Democrats kept doing well in special elections, while Republicans had uneven primary results. The update is broad and does not give district-specific polling or candidate news. The broader environment appears somewhat favorable to Democrats, but the effect on this district-specific primary market is indirect. It may slightly improve Democratic sentiment overall, though it does not clearly shift this race on its own.
N. TorresNorma Torres
M. CargileMike CargileSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
