$2.4K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 8, 2026, 4:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.05M | |
| 2% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is the new 2026 map: California’s primary will use redrawn districts, and the top two vote-getters advance. The current 38th District member, Linda Sánchez, is now running in the new 41st District. Recent Orange County counting updates do not yet show a clear 38th District race leader. Redistricting adds uncertainty because the district boundaries have changed. With no clear candidate-specific breakthrough in the summaries, the market likely stays driven by map effects rather than fresh momentum.
Incumbent Steve Bennett faces challenger Michael MacDonald in the race for the 38th Assembly District seat, which covers much of west Ventura County.
On the ballot this year is an entirely new congressional map.
With ballots left to be counted, several races remain unsettled. But primary election lessons are starting to emerge.
Trump promised strength and prosperity from his trade wars. Instead, he delivered chaos, higher prices and greater economic uncertainty.
The GOP's House majority shrunk following the death of Representative Doug LaMalfa, a California Republican.
From Capitol News Illinois: Legal experts, including two attorneys who formerly worked in the Voting Section of DOJ’s Civil Rights Division, argue DOJ has no legal authority to access sensitive personal data about individual voters
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The election dust is settling a bit on the eight House contests in Orange County.
HBO late-night host Bill Maher admitted that he always thought former California Rep. Eric Swalwell (D) was a "f**king creep" following the sexual assault allegations being lodged against him.
The last time former Rep. and South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford went up against President Donald Trump, it didn't end well for him.
Candidates in a pair of statewide races are off the March 17 primary ballot due to successful objections to their nominating petitions, Illinois State Board of Elections officials ruled Wednesday.
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Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
H. SolisHilda SolisSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
