$2.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$2.5K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Dan Webster's retirement has opened Florida's 11th District, but the seat is still expected to stay strongly Republican. That makes the GOP primary the key race to watch for now. Broader redistricting news may affect House control overall, but it does not directly change this district's outlook. Webster's retirement likely keeps the seat favored for Republicans, but the open race adds some primary uncertainty. Broader redistricting headlines are mixed and do not clearly change the district's lean.
Analilia Mejia wins New Jersey's 11th Congressional District special election on Thursday.
Rep. Dan Webster announced his retirement to care for his wife, as John Mica and Mauricio Tamargo predict a competitive Republican primary in Florida.
Redistricting across the US has turned into all-out war between the Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November — but the GOP is potentially poised to flip more than a dozen seats.
Five Florida U.S. House seats represented by Democrats show dramatic shifts to the GOP based on the 2024 presidential election results.
Four consequential April elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, New Jersey and Virginia could shape House majority control ahead of November's midterm elections.
Several seats thought to be safe for Republicans shifted toward competitiveness in new Sabato’s Crystal Ball midterm ratings.
This week, Julie and Mike spar over war credibility, chaos at the Pentagon, redistricting fights, bad behavior on Capitol Hill and where New Jersey politics fit into a rapidly destabilizing national picture.
Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as RFK Jr. faces more questions from lawmakers and progressive activist Analilia Mejia wins the special election to fill New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill’s former House seat.
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
