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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 14 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 24 daysLast updated: Jul 26, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC

FL-14 Republican nominee?

$24.3K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$24.3K

24h volume

$83

K. Steele79%

M. Beltran17%

M. Marcel3%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

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Latest Insights

FL-14 Republican nominee?

21h

That’s below the previous low of 29% for Mike Beltran in the FL-14 Republican nominee race.

17%12%

News

AINews Summary

Mike Beltran is the only FL-14 Republican candidate with a reported early polling edge, and the survey says Trump support helped him. Other recent Florida political news is broader in scope and does not directly change the nomination race. The poll gives Beltran an early boost and may strengthen his position in the nomination market. Overall uncertainty remains high because the race is still early and little else has changed.

Articles

BNBreitbart News Network2 months ago

14 More Likely to Support a Candidate Who Backed Trump

Residents in Florida's Congressional District 14 are more likely to support a candidate – namely, former Florida House of Representatives member Mike Beltran (R) – upon hearing the candidate maintains unwavering support for President Donald Trump.

SSlate2 months ago

One weird trick Sam Alito used to kill voting rights.

The current Supreme Court seems completely comfortable that we might return to the days in which states create winner-take-all congressional delegations.

FNFox News4 days ago

Redistricting gives GOP a dozen House seats in key midterm forecast

Republican redistricting gains offset Democrats' generic ballot edge in the midterms, leaving the house majority hinging on a handful of toss-up races across competitive districts.

NNNBC News1 month ago

House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins

House Republicans are looking to capitalize on recent redistricting developments in Florida and Virginia, with a GOP super PAC announcing it plans to spend millions more in those states this fall.

NNPR1 month ago

An AI proxy war could reshape Congress — before Congress reshapes AI

The massive spending and heated rhetoric in midterm races reflect the AI industry's political fault lines and competing visions of what the future should look like.

NDNaples Daily News1 month ago

Publishers, pilots, pardoned politicians: Who's running for FL-19?

Fifteen candidates are running for Florida's 19th Congressional District. See who is running to replace Byron Donalds.

AABC17News.com2 months ago

Supreme Court allows Alabama to use GOP-friendly map for midterms, cutting seat held by Black Democrat

By John Fritze, CNN (CNN) — The Supreme Court on Tuesday allowed Alabama to use a congressional map that will benefit Republicans in this year’s midterm elections, permitting the state to ditch one of two House districts represented by a Black member of Congress who is also a Democrat. The court dealt with the case

Polls

Polling Average

40%30%20%10%0%

30%

18.1%

M. Beltran

K. Steele

B. Valenti

R. Rochford

M. Marcel

G. Soriano

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Beltran	Steele	Valenti	Rochford	Marcel	Soriano
Polling Average	Beltran+11.9	30.0%	18.1%	1.6%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
St. Pete PollsJul 14 - 15	Beltran+11.9	30.0%	18.1%	1.6%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Kevin Steele

ABC Florida Gulf Coast Chapter

ABC Florida Gulf Coast Chapter backed Kevin Steele in a bulk endorsement of the GOP congressional slate.

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 14 US House Republican Primary?

FL-14 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-14 Republican nominee?

News

14 More Likely to Support a Candidate Who Backed Trump

One weird trick Sam Alito used to kill voting rights.

Redistricting gives GOP a dozen House seats in key midterm forecast

House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins

An AI proxy war could reshape Congress — before Congress reshapes AI

Publishers, pilots, pardoned politicians: Who's running for FL-19?

Supreme Court allows Alabama to use GOP-friendly map for midterms, cutting seat held by Black Democrat

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-14 Republican nominee?

News

14 More Likely to Support a Candidate Who Backed Trump

One weird trick Sam Alito used to kill voting rights.

Redistricting gives GOP a dozen House seats in key midterm forecast

House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins

An AI proxy war could reshape Congress — before Congress reshapes AI

Publishers, pilots, pardoned politicians: Who's running for FL-19?

Supreme Court allows Alabama to use GOP-friendly map for midterms, cutting seat held by Black Democrat

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-25 Democratic nominee?