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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 19 US House Democratic Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 71 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC

FL-19 Democratic nominee?

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AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

24h volume

H. Sapp61%

V. Arias0%

J. Kane0%

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source: Kalshi

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August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

FL-19 Democratic nominee?

Howard Sapp's odds are now 61%, past the previous high of 0%.

61%61%

News

AINews Summary

The main new development is a local lawsuit and counterclaims that have spilled into Florida's 19th District political coverage. The provided summaries do not report a new FL-19 candidate move, endorsement, or polling shift. That leaves the nomination race with little clear market-moving information. The lawsuit-related coverage may add noise and uncertainty, but the effect on the Democratic nomination market is unclear from the available summaries.

Articles

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CNCable News Network16 days ago

This year could produce the largest loss of Black political representation ever. Here’s why

The redistricting frenzy across Republican-controlled Southern states threatens to resurrect some of the gravest racial injustices in American political history.

NDNaples Daily News20 days ago

Matt Devitt fights back against WINK News in Fort Myers lawsuit

Former WINK meteorologist Matt Devitt asks a judge to dismiss parts of a lawsuit and files counterclaim over ownership of his social media accounts.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$50K

$37.5K

$25K

$12.5K

H. Sapp

V. Arias

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

H. SappHoward Sapp

$32.5KContrib: $32.5K

—Spent: $35.2K

$2.3KLast period: $2.8K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

V. AriasVictor Arias

$22.8KContrib: $2.8K

$18.6KSpent: $4.2K

$283Last period: $2.3K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 19 US House Democratic Primary?

FL-19 Democratic nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-19 Democratic nominee?

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s Texas primaries

This year could produce the largest loss of Black political representation ever. Here’s why

Matt Devitt fights back against WINK News in Fort Myers lawsuit

Fundraising

Related races

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Florida Governor winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-19 Democratic nominee?

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s Texas primaries

This year could produce the largest loss of Black political representation ever. Here’s why

Matt Devitt fights back against WINK News in Fort Myers lawsuit

Fundraising

Related races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?