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High Impact14d

Keith Gross

67%

Keith Gross is now leading with 67% odds, ahead by 23.0 points.

ActivePrimary ElectionRepublican

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 2 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 69 daysLast updated: Jun 12, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC

FL-02 Republican nominee?

$52.6K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$52.6K

24h volume

$1.7K

K. Gross60%

E. Power29%

J. Norton19%

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source: Kalshi

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August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

FL-02 Republican nominee?

14dHigh Impact

Keith Gross is now leading with 67% odds, ahead by 23.0 points.

67%

FL-02 Republican nominee?

16dHigh Impact

Rogers now leads the Republican nomination market for Florida’s 2nd District after a sharp repricing, and recent local reporting suggests the crowded field is still fluid enough that traders may need to reassess the front-runner.

55%52%

FL-02 Republican nominee?

16dHigh Impact

Austin Rogers is now leading the FL-02 Republican nominee race with 55% odds, ahead by 11.0 points.

55%

News

AINews Summary

The main Florida-relevant item is Trump’s wave of endorsements across Republican primaries, including some in Florida. No summary gives a direct update on the Florida 2nd District nomination itself. Most other stories are about broader election-law or redistricting issues. The endorsements could matter if they include Florida 2nd District contenders, but the summaries do not say which candidates were affected. Overall, the market impact is unclear from the available news.

Articles

NNNBC News9 days ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

PPPortland Press Herald13 days ago

Platner is outraising - and outspending - Susan Collins

Platner's heavy spending to date reflects the contentious Democratic primary with Gov. Janet Mills, who dropped out of the race April 30, and his likely November matchup with Collins.

SSlate7 days ago

One weird trick Sam Alito used to kill voting rights.

The current Supreme Court seems completely comfortable that we might return to the days in which states create winner-take-all congressional delegations.

NNewsBreak9 days ago

Elon Musk is expected to become the world’s first trillionaire. Democrats are taking aim.

Progressive politicians are sharpening their attacks against tech tycoon Elon Musk, zeroing in on his soon-to-be-trillionaire status days before his compan

NNewsBreak8 days ago

Iranian author of ‘Persepolis,’ dies at 56

Marjane Satrapi, the French-Iranian author and illustrator behind the popular graphic novel series and film “Persopolis,” has died, the French presidency s

ADAnchorage Daily News17 days ago

How this age of extreme gerrymandering is transforming American politics

Politicians, no longer content to leave elections to chance, are working to choose their voters as often as every two years.

NNewsBreak8 days ago

The Supreme Court gave Republicans another congressional win. But its ruling means much more.

Alabama has repeatedly come to the US Supreme Court to defend a racially discriminatory congressional map, asserting dubious claims and employing questiona

TNThe New Yorker25 days ago

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.

NNewsweek10 days ago

Full List of Trump Endorsements Posted Before Key US Primaries

The president used a series of Truth Social posts to back more than 20 candidates in races across multiple states.

NNJ.com11 days ago

Republican: Delaney Hall is uncomfortable for GOP to defend. Dem: Sherrill is doing the right thing to fight| Friendly Fire

Trump’s foreign policy push, eye-popping Pentagon spending, and a shaky midterm map all collide with New Jersey’s own flashpoints — from Mikie Sherrill’s budget crunch to an immigration fight unfolding in Newark — as Mike and Julie break down who’s winning, who’s scrambling, and what actually matters.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

K. Gross

A. Rogers

E. Power

J. Norton

L. Murphy

A. Rowell

N. Lewis

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

K. GrossKeith Gross

$5.68MContrib: $79.1K

$5.13MSpent: $561.2K

$37.4KLast period: $77.9K