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High Impact3d

Elijah Manley

52%

Elijah Manley is now at 52%, ahead by 10.0 points after trailing earlier.

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 20 US House Democratic Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 46 daysLast updated: Jul 4, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC

FL-20 Democratic nominee?

$34.1K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$34.1K

24h volume

$3.9K

E. Manley57%

D. Schultz40%

L. Campbell4%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

FL-20 Democratic nominee?

3dHigh Impact

Elijah Manley is now at 52%, ahead by 10.0 points after trailing earlier.

52%

News

AINews Summary

Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s move into FL-20 is the biggest development, and her campaign says she is polling above 50% in the primary field. The race has also drawn backlash over redistricting and Black representation. Luther Campbell is on the ballot too, but is not seen as a clear favorite. Wasserman Schultz’s reported internal polling may strengthen her position, but the backlash and crowded field keep the outcome uncertain. The market likely remains mixed with some support for her and continued volatility.

Articles

NNNBC News1 month ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

APAsbury Park Press19 days ago

Once banned, now on the ballot: Luther ‘Uncle Luke’ Campbell runs

Luther "Uncle Luke" Campbell, known for raunchy lyrics and challenging free speech laws, is on the ballot and running for congress in Florida.

FForbes1 month ago

Old Congresswoman Frederica Wilson—Absent For A Month—Will Retire

Wilson missed dozens of votes from April to May in a lengthy absence she attributed to eye surgery.

NDNaples Daily News2 months ago

Florida congressional candidates have tough decisions under new map

Several South Florida Democrats face tough decision on where to run for re-election under new Republican-drawn congressional map.

TGThe Gateway Pundit30 days ago

"I didn’t think a white Democrat would be the one to take away a Black seat" * The Gateway Pundit * by Margaret Flavin

White liberal women talk a good game when it comes to 'racial equity.' That is, until it interferes with their own quest for power and control.

NNewsmax17 days ago

Wasserman Schultz Campaign Drawing Fire in Redrawn Fla. District

Igniting fierce primary battles and deep divisions within the Democratic Party over Black political representation is the decision of longtime Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, D-Fla., to seek reelection in Florida's newly redrawn, majority-minority 20th Congressional District.

SSlate1 month ago

Cornyn’s out, Paxton’s in-and locked in on Talarico’s taco order.

It was another banner week of politics in America.

Endorsements

Elijah Manley

Daily Kos

Daily Kos backed Elijah Manley for Congress.

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Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna endorsed Elijah Manley in the CD 20 Democratic primary.

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Democratic Black Caucus President

Democratic Black Caucus President backed Elijah Manley in CD 20.

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progressive leaders

Progressive leaders backed Elijah Manley in CD 20.

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Progressive Florida

Progressive Florida endorsed Elijah Manley for Florida’s 20th Congressional District.

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Alliance 4 American Leadership PAC

Alliance 4 American Leadership PAC endorsed Elijah Manley for CD 20.

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Luther Campbell

Rudolph Moise

Rudolph Moise endorsed Luther Campbell after leaving the CD 20 race.

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Rudolph Moise

Rudolph Moise endorsed Luther Campbell after dropping out of the race.

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Rudolph Moise

Rudolph Moise endorsed Luther Campbell after suspending his congressional campaign.

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DJ Khaled

DJ Khaled endorsed Luther Campbell for Congress.

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Dale Holness

Rudolph Moise

Rudolph Moise endorsed Dale Holness after dropping out of the race.

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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Buju Banton

Buju Banton endorsed Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's political comeback.

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Rudolph Moise

Dale Holness

Dale Holness endorsed Rudolph Moise for U.S. Congress after Moise withdrew from the FL-20 race.

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Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

D. Schultz

E. Manley

S. Cherfilus-McCormick

D. Holness

R. Moise

L. Campbell

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

D. SchultzDebbie Wasserman Schultz

$2.50MContrib: $2.47M

$2.51MSpent: $1.05M

$70.2KLast period: $694.4K