$137.2K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC.
Total volume
$137.2K
24h volume
$7.0K
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 88% | $3.30M | |
| 15% | $1.07M | |
| 5% | $163.6K | |
| 1% | $389.3K | |
| 1% | $380.8K | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | $651.7K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
Fresh AP reporting and same-day coverage say Debbie Wasserman Schultz is still the clear favorite in the August 18 Florida 20 Democratic primary, matching her 92% market price and keeping the race focused on whether anyone can consolidate the anti-incumbent vote.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s nominee contract surged from 92% to 92% in the last day, and fresh AP reporting still describes her as the clear front-runner before Tuesday’s primary.
That’s above the previous high of 4% for Luther Campbell in "FL-20 Democratic nominee?"
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s run in the redrawn FL-20 has triggered a contentious Democratic primary, and her campaign says she is above 50% internally. Luther Campbell is also on the August ballot. The new map and criticism from Black officials have made the race more competitive and uncertain. Wasserman Schultz’s reported internal lead may support her nomination odds, but the multi-candidate field and backlash keep uncertainty elevated. Campbell’s entry adds another variable, though the overall effect is still mixed.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Luther "Uncle Luke" Campbell, known for raunchy lyrics and challenging free speech laws, is on the ballot and running for congress in Florida.
Florida's primary election day is Aug. 18. Here's what you'll need to bring to your polling place if you want to vote.
Wilson missed dozens of votes from April to May in a lengthy absence she attributed to eye surgery.
Several South Florida Democrats face tough decision on where to run for re-election under new Republican-drawn congressional map.
Rep. Rashida Tlaib is facing backlash for backing primary challengers against Jewish Florida Democrats Jared Moskowitz and Debbie Wasserman Schultz.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. SchultzDebbie Wasserman Schultz
E. ManleyElijah Manley
R. MoiseRudolph Moise
S. Cherfilus-McCormickSheila Cherfilus-McCormick
D. HolnessDale Holness
L. CampbellLuther CampbellSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
