Democratic Party
5%24H14%The Democratic Party’s odds in "FL-21 House winner?" are now 14%, above the prior high of 9% over the last 60 days.
The Democratic Party’s odds in "FL-21 House winner?" are now 14%, above the prior high of 9% over the last 60 days.
The biggest development is Florida Republicans advancing a new redistricting plan that could make several Democratic-held House districts more Republican-leaning. The map is expected to face legal challenges. EMILY's List has also targeted the district for 2026, signaling an active Democratic effort. The redistricting news could improve Republican prospects if the map holds, but legal challenges add uncertainty. EMILY's List targeting suggests Democrats still see the district as worth contesting.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.