Oliver Larkin
24H46%Oliver Larkin is now at 46%, ahead by 10.0 points after trailing earlier.
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$6.9K
AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Oliver Larkin is now at 46%, ahead by 10.0 points after trailing earlier.
Jared Moskowitz's odds are now 48%, past the previous low of 57%.
There are no new, district-specific updates in the provided summaries about who is running or leading in the 2026 Florida 23rd Democratic nomination. The Florida-focused items instead highlight statewide activity, including Alexander Vindman’s reported $8.2M Senate fundraising and a renewed Florida Democratic voter-registration push after special-election wins. With no district-specific candidate or primary developments reported, this news is unlikely to move odds for the FL-23 Democratic nominee. Broader Florida Democratic organizing could slightly improve sentiment, but the effect on this specific nomination is unclear.
The numbers come as Florida Democrats feel growing optimism ahead of the midterms in the ruby-red Sunshine State.
Four consequential April elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, New Jersey, and Virginia could shape House majority control ahead of November's midterm elections.
Tuesday is the deadline for a candidate to withdraw from the race and stay off the ballot.
Demings and Jolly court Florida Democrats as they compete to lead the party in a bid to end the GOP’s 30-year hold on the governor’s office.
Democrats recently flipped two traditionally Republican-held seats in a Florida legislature special election.
Cutting back on Starbucks runs can be a patriotic money saver during Trump’s war.
The Republican primary runoff in Texas' Senate race will continue, with the deadline for a candidate to drop out of the race passing on Tuesday as President Donald Trump weighs backing Sen. John Cornyn or state Attorney General Ken Paxton.
J. MoskowitzJared MoskowitzO. LarkinOliver LarkinSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
