$163.7K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 12:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $2.28M | |
| 1% | $483.6K | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Florida's proposed new congressional map could split the current 23rd District into three parts and make the redrawn seat more favorable to Republicans. The plan is expected to face legal challenges, and it could reshape several South Florida House districts. The redistricting news likely makes the Democratic nomination market less tied to the current district shape and adds uncertainty about the eventual seat. It may indirectly weaken Democratic prospects if the redrawn district becomes more Republican-leaning.
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
By Fredreka Schouten, Ethan Cohen, Renée Rigdon, CNN (CNN) — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has signed into law a map he designed to give Republicans an edge in as many as four seats now held by Democrats. State lawmakers approved the new boundaries just hours after the US Supreme Court issued a decision limiting the
Five Florida U.S. House seats represented by Democrats show dramatic shifts to the GOP based on the 2024 presidential election results.
The numbers come as Florida Democrats feel growing optimism ahead of the midterms in the ruby-red Sunshine State.
Four consequential April elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, New Jersey, and Virginia could shape House majority control ahead of November's midterm elections.
Tuesday is the deadline for a candidate to withdraw from the race and stay off the ballot.
Demings and Jolly court Florida Democrats as they compete to lead the party in a bid to end the GOP’s 30-year hold on the governor’s office.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. MoskowitzJared Moskowitz
L. FrankelLois Frankel
O. LarkinOliver Larkin
V. DoyleVictoria DoyleSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
