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AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
FL-24 Democratic nominee?
Frederica Wilson’s confirmed exit keeps FL-24’s Democratic nominee market focused on an open-seat succession fight, with Oliver Gilbert already leading and new candidate movement likely to matter for repricing.
Frederica Wilson’s confirmed exit keeps FL-24’s Democratic nominee market focused on an open-seat succession fight, with Oliver Gilbert already leading and new candidate movement likely to matter for repricing.
Wilson told the Miami Herald she is not seeking reelection, turning FL-24’s Democratic nominee race into a true open-seat contest and extending the candidate repricing already underway.
Oliver Gilbert is now the front-runner at 91%, with a 24.0-point lead.
Rep. Frederica Wilson has announced she will retire, opening up the Democratic nomination fight in Florida’s 24th District. The seat is still expected to stay Democratic-leaning, and the primary is set for August 18. Potential successors are already being discussed. Wilson’s retirement opens the race and likely increases uncertainty in the Democratic nomination market. The district still appears Democratic-leaning, so the main effect is on which Democrat emerges as the nominee.
F. WilsonFrederica Wilson
C. Sanon-JulesChristine Sanon-JulesSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
