Democratic Party
9%24H15%That’s above the previous high of 6% over the last 60 days.
That’s above the previous high of 6% over the last 60 days.
Democratic Party's odds in "FL-03 House winner?" are now 16%, above the previous high of 6%.
Florida’s new congressional map is the biggest development, and it is expected to help Republicans in several House races. The redraw affects multiple districts and could face court challenges. Florida’s 15th District is singled out as a Democratic target under the new lines. The redistricting news likely improves Republican prospects in Florida House races overall, but the effect on this district is indirect and still uncertain. Legal challenges could also limit how much the map changes the race.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.