$11.4K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 13, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 93% | $1.38M | |
| 5% | $565.1K | |
| 2% | $388.2K | |
| 1% | $35.1K | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new report says Democrats raised more money than Republican incumbents in many competitive House races, including in Florida. It also points to polling, Trump’s approval rating, and Florida redistricting as factors shaping the broader midterm outlook. The update is more about the overall House environment than this nomination race. This is broadly favorable for Democrats in competitive House markets, but it does not give district-specific nominee information. For this Florida 7th nomination market, the effect is indirect and limited.
Michael Alfonso has heavily benefited from his father-in-law’s position within the Trump administration.
U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy’s son-in-law Michael Alfonso faces GOP scrutiny over experience in his Wisconsin congressional bid.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy is doing all he can to get his 26-year-old son-in-law elected to his old congressional district in the vast north woods of Wisconsin.
U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy is doing all he can to get his 26-year-old son-in-law elected to his old congressional district in the vast north woods of Wisconsin. Michael Alfonso secured...
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. DaltonBale Dalton
M. KinterMarialana Kinter
A. GraysonAlan Grayson
J. AdamsJennifer AdamsSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
