Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Kentucky House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
KY-05 House winner?
$6.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $849.8K | |
| 3% | $182.3K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$6.1K
24h volume
$1.6K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Kentucky 5th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Republican or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Harold Rogers (R)
Election Rules
Primary May 19, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Recent coverage centers on Republican primary fights in Kentucky, including Trump-backed Ed Gallrein’s challenge to Rep. Thomas Massie in the 6th District. The reporting highlights Trump’s influence in Kentucky GOP contests. There is no clear new signal yet on the 5th District party-winner race. The news mainly points to Republican primary dynamics, not the general election. It may slightly increase attention on GOP nomination risk, but it does not clearly shift the party-winner market yet.
Articles
CCCincinnati Cincinnati Enquirer8 days ago
These industries are backing Kentucky's congressional candidates
See how much Kentucky's congressional candidates have raised and which industries are funding their campaigns ahead of the election.
RReuters17 days ago
Roy Cooper's North Carolina playbook is working. Can other Democrats copy it?
North Carolina hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate in nearly 20 years, but former Governor Roy Cooper, who hasn't lost an election in four decades, has built a double-digit lead over Republican Michael Whatley.
FNFox News4 months ago
Trump backs Andy Biggs in Arizona's GOP gubernatorial primary race
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press6 months ago
What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
FNFox News6 months ago
Trump targets Sen. Cassidy and Rep. Massie after Indiana primary wins
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
SSlate3 days ago
The real danger of Donald Trump’s Mary Peltola threats.
He could threaten certificaiton.
CCCincinnati Cincinnati Enquirer23 days ago
Kentucky Party candidates offer third option on voter ballots in 2026
The Kentucky Party will have candidates on the ballot in the Bluegrass State in 2026. So, who are they and what do they believe?
NNNBC News2 months ago
Trump administration live updates: Fed to decide whether to raise interest rates
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
SSFGATE3 months ago
A new Tennessee congressional map that splits Memphis is making its debut in the state's primary
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday. Voters are picking nominees in the new 9th Congressional...
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$1M
$750K
$500K
$250K
$0
H. Rogers
N. Pillersdorf
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
H. RogersHal Rogers$849.8KContrib: $717.4K
$874.7KSpent: $946.3K
$52.6KLast period: $75.8K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
N. PillersdorfNed Pillersdorf$182.3KContrib: $182.3K
$91.3KSpent: $91.0K
$5.1KLast period: $66.7K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
KY-05 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 12:32 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for KY-05?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 12:32 AM UTC